article Class 2A Notebook: Regional Finals Tale of the Tape

[ATLCat]

**All Rankings Reflect Final Bluegrasspreps.Com Regular Season Ranking**

 

REGION 1 FINAL

#4 Owensboro Catholic (10-2) @ #1 Mayfield (11-1)

 

Last Week:

Mayfield defeated Butler County 50-0

Owensboro Catholic defeated #6 Murray 34-15

 

Common Opponents:

#6 Murray- OCath won 34-15, Mayfield won 17-7

Butler County- Ocath won 53-14, Mayfield won 50-0

Webster County- OCath won 63-14, Mayfield won 64-0

 

Strength of Schedule (using Calpreps):

Mayfield- 1.4

OCath- -4.1

 

Losses:

Mayfield- 6A #10 McCracken County 31-37 in OT

OCath- 6A Daviess County 21-27 in OT, 5A #4 Owensboro 28-35

 

Best Wins:

Mayfield- 3A #5 Caldwell County 25-24, 3A #7 Paducah Tilghman 37-14, 3A #9 Corbin 28-14, 2A #6 Murray 17-7, 5A Graves County 46-14

OCath- 2A #6 Murray 34-15, 6A North Hardin 47-27, 1A #10 Lou. Holy Cross 46-13

 

Opponents Still Playing Football:

Mayfield- 3 (McCracken Co, Corbin, Caldwell County)

OCath- 2 (Lou. Holy Cross, Owensboro)

 

Calpreps Projection: Mayfield 28-24

 

BGP Prediction: Mayfield 34 OCath 26

 

 

 

REGION 2 FINAL

#3 DeSales (10-2) @ #2 Christian Academy Louisville (10-2)

 

Last Meeting: CAL 16 DeSales 0

 

Last Week:

#2 CAL defeated Glasgow 52-18

#3 DeSales defeated #10 Monroe County 42-14

 

Common Opponents:

Shawnee- CAL won 35-0, DeSales won 56-0

Washington County- CAL won 56-8, DeSales won 48-0

 

SOS (using Calpreps):

CAL- 5.1

DeSales- 4.9

 

Losses:

CAL- Lost to 6A #4 Simon Kenton 50-23, Lost to 3A #1 Central 28-21

DeSales- Lost to CAL 16-0, Lost to 5A #3 Fern Creek 14-0

 

Best Wins:

CAL- #3 2A DeSales 16-0, 4A #10 Franklin County 27-0, 6A Eastern 42-7, 6A Meade County 36-0, 4A North Oldham 42-14

DeSales- 6A Ballard 29-6, 6A North Hardin 41-7, 5A Fairdale 42-6, 2A #10 Monroe County 42-14, 1A #10 Lou. Holy Cross 32-0

 

Opponents Still Playing Football:

CAL- 3 (Simon Kenton, Central, DeSales)

DeSales- 3 (Holy Cross, Fern Creek, CAL)

 

Calpreps Projection: CAL 21 DeSales 17

 

Bluegrasspreps Projection: CAL 20 DeSales 14

 

 

 

 

REGION 3 FINAL

#8 Lloyd Memorial (9-3) @ #7 Newport Central Catholic (7-5)

 

Last Meeting: NCC 29 Lloyd Memorial 26

 

Last Week:

NCC defeated Cov. Holy Cross 46-15

Lloyd Memorial defeated Walton-Verona 31-14

 

Common Opponents:

Cov. Holy Cross- NCC won 20-13 and 46-15, Lloyd Memorial won 42-36

Newport- NCC won 48-8, Lloyd Memorial won 42-6

Conner- NCC lost 17-21, Lloyd Memorial lost 0-6

#1 1A Beechwood- NCC lost 14-31, Lloyd Memorial lost 22-48

Harrison County- NCCC won 47-7, Lloyd Memorial won 50-37

 

 

SOS (Using Calpreps):

NCC- 7.1

Lloyd Memorial- 0

 

Losses:

NewCath- 4A #7 Scott 7-8, 6A #7 Cooper 0-35, 3A #2 Belfry 10-28, 6A Conner 17-2, 1A #1 Beechwood 14-31

Lloyd Memorial- 1A #1 Beechwood 22-48, #7 2A NewCath 26-29, 6A Conner 0-6

 

Best Wins:

NewCath- 2A #8 Lloyd Memorial 29-26, 6A Campbell County 28-19

Lloyd Memorial- 3A Garrard County 54-26

 

Opponents Still Playing:

NewCath- 5 (Scott, Cooper, Belfry, Lloyd Memorial, Beechwood)

Lloyd Memorial- 2 (Beechwood, NewCath)

 

Calpreps Prediction: NewCath 28 Lloyd Memorial 21

 

Bluegrasspreps Prediction: NewCath 38 Lloyd Memorial 32

 

 

 

 

REGION 4 FINAL

Lexington Christian Academy (8-4) @ #5 Danville (11-1)

 

Last Meeting:

Danville 41 LCA 7

 

Last Week:

Danville defeated Leslie County 55-14

LCA Defeated #9 Shelby Valley 28-20

 

Common Opponents:

Somerset-Danville won 24-7, LCA won 42-34

Middlesboro- Danville won 56-0, LCA won 56-19

Green County- Danville won 41-0, LCA won 21-6

 

SOS (Using Calpreps):

Danville- -4

LCA- -3.3

 

Losses:

Danville- 3A #4 Boyle County 20-42

LCA- 2A #5 Danville 7-41, 1A #6 Fairview 34-50, 3A Powell County 23-28, 2A Walton-Verona 27-28

 

 

Best Wins:

Danville- 3A #9 Corbin 20-0

LCA- 2A #9 Shelby Valley 28-20

 

Opponents Still Playing:

Danville-2 (3A #9 Corbin, LCA)

LCA- 1 (2A #5 Danville)

 

Calpreps Prediction: Danville 42 LCA 21

 

Bluegrasspreps Prediction: Danville 41 LCA 14

[Cobraxx]

Great breakdown!

[ATLCat]

SOS of the 8 remaining teams:

1. NewCath- 7.1 (5 Opponents Still Playing)

2. CAL- 5.1 (3 Opponents Still Playing)

3. DeSales- 4.9 (3 Opponents Still Playing)

4. Ocath- 4.1 (2 Opponents Still Playing)

5. Mayfield- 1.4 (3 Opponents Still Playing)

6. Lloyd Memorial- 0 (2 Opponents Still Playing)

7. LCA- -3.3 (1 Opponent Still Playing)

8. Danville- -4.0 (2 Opponents Still Playing)

 

Best Wins Cumulative Based off Calpreps Opponent Ranking:

1. CAL vs. DeSales

2. Mayfield vs. Caldwell County

3. DeSales vs. Ballard

4. Mayfield vs. Paducah Tilghman

5. DeSales vs. North Hardin (41-7)

6. Owensboro Catholic vs. North Hardin (47-27)

7. Lloyd Memorial vs. Garrard County

8. CAL vs. Franklin County

9. DeSales vs. Fairdale

10. CAL vs. Eastern

 

Best Loss Performance Per Calpreps:

---------(Excellent Losses)---------- *Above a 15 Rating

1. CAL vs. Simon Kenton-28.2

2. OCath vs. Owensboro- 25.2

3. NewCath vs. Belfry- 23.2

4. CAL vs. Central- 21.8

5. Mayfield vs. McCracken Co- 19.5

6. DeSales vs. CAL- 17.9

7. DeSales vs. Fern Creek- 17.4

--------(Good Losses)----------- *15 Rating or Below

8. NewCath vs. Cooper- 14.6

t9. NewCath vs. Conner- 13.6

t9. Lloyd Memorial vs. Conner- 13.6

11. Danville vs. Boyle Co- 12.9

12. NewCath vs. Scott- 12.2

-------(Questionable Losses)--------------- *Under 10

13. NewCath vs. Beechwood- 6.6

14. Lloyd Memorial vs. NewCath- 4.9

----------(BAD LOSSES)----------------

15. Lloyd Memorial vs. Beechwood- (-2.4)

16. LCA vs. Danville- (-4.0)

17. OCath vs. Daviess County- (-4.8)

----------(Terrible Losses)-----------

18. LCA vs. Fairview (-11.7)

19. LCA vs. Walton-Verona (-18.4)

20. LCA vs. Powell (-21.1)

[Idon'tknow]

Danville and NCC in the East.

 

DeSales will not have 4 turnovers again. They will get more pressure on the QB.

I like DeSales by 7.

 

Too many weapons for Mayfield, OC can't control all of them. Mayfield by 2-3 TD's.

[Voice of Reason]

Those West games are great matchups. I expect NCC to win over Lloyd, but there is potential for an upset. I don't think LCA has much of a chance versus Danville.

[thunder1]

I knew Danville played a weak Schedule this year.

[Idon'tknow]

I knew Danville played a weak Schedule this year.

 

You better buckle that chin strap tight if you play Danville.

[adstimes10]

I knew Danville played a weak Schedule this year.

 

And LCA has 4 of the five worst losses!

[thunder1]

You better buckle that chin strap tight if you play Danville.

 

Why? They played the weakest schedule. How do we know they're that good. Any team can look good playing a cup cake schedule!

[EQUUS GREVYI]

Why? They played the weakest schedule. How do we know they're that good. Any team can look good playing a cup cake schedule!

 

Are you thinking LCA over Danville in region finals?

[adstimes10]

Why? They played the weakest schedule. How do we know they're that good. Any team can look good playing a cup cake schedule!

Why because the logic says when they man handled you the first time it will probably happen again.

[WHO'S NEXT?]

Official CalPreps rankings, with last week's games factored in, don't come out until Tuesday. Some of your info you posted is a week old.