We have reached the post-season, and again, thanks for following along. We have a lot of very compelling stories around the NKY Girls' Basketball scene as we move into Districts, preparing for Regional Tourneys, and then ultimately, the Sweet 16. We have a fair amount of movement from last week into this final Top 10, due to the red-hot play of Notre Dame, and some late-season struggles for a few others. I will also list where each team was in the pre-season, so you can have a sense for how teams performed versus expectations.
Below the Top 10 I'll have the district tournament schedules for 32nd - 37th, with a prediction for each sure to go wrong. Would be great if we could get two NKY teams into the Sweet 16, and beyond that, into the Semifinals!!! I'd love to see three, but the Camels have struggled down the stretch, and even if they hadn't, GRC appears too much in the 10th for anyone to knock off before deep in the Sweet 16.
1. Simon Kenton (26-2 / 1-0 last week / 9-1 in last 10): Pre-season #1. 32nd District / 8th Region.
2. Cooper (19-7 / 1-1 / 6-4): Pre-season #2. 33rd District / 9th Region.
3. Notre Dame (19-7 / 2-0 / 8-2): Pre-season #3. 35th District / 9th Region.
4. Campbell County (20-6 / 1-2 / 7-3): Pre-season #4. 37th District / 10th Region.
5. Holy Cross (25-4 / 2-0 / 8-2): Pre-season #7. 35th District / 9th Region.
6. Ryle (18-9 / 1-1 / 8-2): Pre-season #5. 33rd District / 9th Region.
7. Bishop Brossart (24-6 / 0-2 / 5-5): Pre-season #9. 37th District / 10th Region.
8. Highlands (15-11 / 1-1 / 4-6): Pre-season #10. 36th District / 9th Region.
9. Dixie (11-15 / 2-0 / 7-3): Pre-season #6. 34th District / 9th Region.
10. NewCath (19-10 / 1-1 / 6-4): Pre-season #15. 36th District / 9th Region.
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11. St. Henry (16-11 / 2-2 / 5-5): Pre-season #13. 34th District / 9th Region.
12. Walton-Verona (17-12 / 2-1 / 7-3): Pre-season #12. 32nd District / 8th Region.
13. Grant County (14-12 / 1-1 / 6-4): Pre-season #11. 32nd District / 8th Region.
14. Scott (10-17 / 1-1 / 4-6): Pre-season #14. 37th District / 10th Region.
15. Conner (9-18 / 3-0 / 7-3): Pre-season #8. 33rd District / 9th Region.
16. Lloyd (14-14 / 2-1 / 5-5): Pre-season unranked. 34th District / 9th Region.
32nd District Tournament:
Simon Kenton vs Williamstown on 2/23 at 6:00 (at Walton-Verona).
Grant County at Walton-Verona on 2/23 at 7:30.
I expect SK to beat W-V in the district finals, and Grant County to be eliminated tonight in a very close game at W-V. SK and W-V advance to the 8th.
33rd District Tournament:
Cooper vs Boone County on 2/24 at 5:45 (at Ryle).
Conner at Ryle on 2/24 at 7:30.
I think Conner will push Ryle for a while on Tuesday night, before losing by about 12. I think Cooper vs Ryle on Thursday at 7:00 (at Ryle) will be a terrific game that Cooper ultimately wins by 5-7 points. Cooper and Ryle advance to the 9th.
34th District Tournament:
Ludlow vs Villa Madonna on 2/23 at 6:00 (at Lloyd).
Ludlow (or VMA, but I'm calling for Ludlow) vs St. Henry 2/24 at 6:00 (at Lloyd).
Dixie at Lloyd on 2/24 at 7:45.
I think Ludlow pushes #1 seed St. Henry, but after a 12 point loss in the regular season, Ludlow comes up 6-8 points short this time. Dixie is playing their best basketball right now, and despite being at Lloyd for this game, I expect Dixie to knock off the Juggernauts by 10-12 points. That sets up a District final on Thursday at 7:00 that Dixie wins by 15 points. Dixie and St. Henry advance to the 9th.
35th District Tournament:
Notre Dame vs Holmes on 2/24 at 6:00 (at Beechwood).
Holy Cross at Beechwood on 2/24 at 7:30.
Notre Dame is finding their stride again, and as great as Holy Cross has been this year (even more impressive considering the unfortunate loss of D'Myah Williams mid-season to another knee injury), I think the Pandas will knock off Holy Cross for the 2nd time this season. Notre Dame and Holy Cross advance to the 9th.
36th District Tournament:
Highlands vs Dayton on 2/24 at 6:00 (at Bellevue).
NewCath at Bellevue on 2/24 at 7:45.
Bellevue will certainly put up a fight at home, but I think the Breds ultimately advance by about 10-12 points, ending Bellevue's season. The 36th District Championship will be a hard-fought, relatively low-scoring game, but I see Highlands ultimately winning by 6-8 over the Breds. Both Highlands and NewCath will advance to the 9th.
37th District Tournament:
Bishop Brossart vs Scott on 2/23 at 7:00 (at Campbell County).
The winner, and I think it is ultimately Brossart in a very close game (5-7), gets Campbell County on their home floor on 2/25 at 7:00.
Brossart vs Scott is one of the better District semis in the area, and Brossart comes in only winning 5 of their last 10 as their scheduled ramped up at the end of the season, but I still think they have enough to knock off the Eagles (but it won't be easy). Campbell County limps into the post-season after a large home loss to Notre Dame and then a tough road loss on Friday night at South Laurel, but I think Davey has them frothing at the mouth and ready to go on Wednesday night and they get Brossart by 13-15 to win the 37th. Both Campbell County and Bishop Brossart advance to the 10 Region Tourney.