Okay ladies and gentlemen, you got a little taste of the Hensley Rating System towards the end of the regular season and now it is time to break out the HRS predictions for the 2008 postseason.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantral Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last couple of seasons, I have done a post-season version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now most first round games will be easy to predict but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

 

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for each class and the HRS predictions:

 

 

Class 1A

Beechwood 89.40

Lexington Christian 82.80

Frankfort 77.40

Raceland 75.45

Hazard 64.40

Mayfield 62.95

Crittenden County 61.70

Pikeville 53.85

 

Mayfield at Crittenden County – CC by 4.75

Beechwood at Frankfort – BHS by 6

LCA at Raceland – LCA by 1.35

Hazard at Pikeville – HHS by 4.45

 

 

Class 2A

Fort Campbell 92.95

Newport Central Catholic 89.10

Green County 84.85

Corbin 77.75

Owensboro Catholic 77.40

Monroe County 75.80

DeSales 72.40

Prestonsburg 70.25

 

Owensboro Catholic at Fort Campbell – FC by 21.55

Green County at Monroe County – GC by 3.05

DeSales at Newport Central Catholic – NCC by 22.7

Prestonsburg at Corbin – CHS by 13.5

 

 

Class 3A

Central 92.70

Belfry 85.45

Breathitt County 79.95

Elizabethtown 77.10

Estill County 68.45

Sheldon Clark 66.50

Union County 63.65

Edmonson County 53.75

 

Edmonson County at Union County – UC by 15.9

Elizabethtown at Central – CHS by 21.6

Estill County at Breathitt County – BC by 17.5

Sheldon Clark at Belfry – BHS by 24.95

 

 

Class 4A

Bell County 101.45

Boyle County 101.35

Lexington Catholic 96.10

Bullitt East 80.40

Knox Central 78.15

North Bullitt 75.55

Calloway County 74.00

Allen County-Scottsville 72.75

 

Calloway County at Allen County-Scottsville – ACS by 4.75

North Bullitt at Bullitt East – BE by 10.85

Lexington Catholic at Boyle County – BC by 11.25

Knox Central at Bell County – BC by 29.3

 

 

Class 5A

Highlands 116.00

Johnson Central 96.80

Owensboro 96.40

John Hardin 95.90

Christian County 91.20

Doss 89.55

Whitley County 88.20

Letcher County Central 77.55

 

Owensboro at Christian County – CC by 0.8

John Hardin at Doss – JH by 0.35

Highlands at Johnson Central – HHS by 13.2

Letcher County Central at Whitley County – WC by 16.65

 

 

Class 6A

St. Xavier 126.15

Trinity (Louisville) 118.30

Scott County 95.75

duPont Manual 95.35

Male 95.00

Boone County 95.00

Eastern 91.05

Simon Kenton 87.05

 

Eastern at Trinity – T by 33.25

DuPont Manual at St. Xavier – X by 36.8

Simon Kenton at Boone County – BC by 13.95

Male at Scott County – SC by 6.75

Looks good, thanks for posting.

 

Later.

I hope thats right..... I would much rather go to Scott Co. Rather than Male. Before I get flamed its because I have been to Georgetown and know where the stadium is.

Good job, thanks for doing those, they usually are fairly on with picking winners anyway!

Good job. Thanks.