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BGP Category 1 Marginal Risk Today

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Most of Kentucky is in a category 1 Marginal Risk Area for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms later today. A few strong to locally damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two may occur across parts of Kentucky this afternoon in the evening hours.

 

The remnants of Gordon will likely be located over southeastern MO. later this morning. A warm front extending eastward from this surface low across northern KY and southern IL/IN will become better defined while moving little due to strong high pressure over the northeastern CONUS.

 

Confidence has increased that at least isolated thunderstorms will also form south of the warm front across western Kentucky and vicinity by late morning/early afternoon and move generally eastward into central/eastern Kentucky through the early evening hours.

 

KY_swody1.png

 

Here is the simulated NAM 3km Ohio Valley Radar from Saturday 2 pm ET/1 pm CT to 2 am ET/ 1 am CT Sunday morning.

 

32-nodither.gif

 

Counties boarding the Ohio River in Kentucky are now under a Flash Flood Watch.

 

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It's raining cats and dogs in Ft. Mitchell right now. A few sparse rolls of thunder, but some pretty serious rain for about 20 minutes now.

  • Author

Parts of the Cincinnati/NKY area are now in a Moderate Risk Area for excessive rainfall exceeding flash flood guidelines.

 

 

94ewbg.gif

 

This shows the predicted rainfall accumulations from this morning through 11 pm ET/ 10 pm CT Sunday night.

 

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  • Author

Thunderstorm Outlook for later today.

 

from 4 et/3 ct to 8 pm et/7 ct

 

 

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From 8 pm/ 7 ct to 12 am et/11 pm CT

 

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