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Look Ahead

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I got up early because of a sinus headache that started last evening so I thought I would take a look ahead weather wise. We look to be entering into an active weather pattern for the rest of January. I think that period will be more rain than snow. There seems to be a chance of some light snow to close out the month. For now, it doesn't look like much.

 

February could be interesting. The Climate Prediction Center has Kentucky with an equal chance of above or below normal temperatures. Simply meaning it could go either way. It also has Kentucky above normal chance for precipitation. The following maps show this.

 

off14_temp.gif

 

off14_prcp.gif

 

With that all being said I took a look at the long-range CFS for February. I found something that peaked my interest. The middle of February could be quite eventful. It looks to be a return to a very wintry pattern. With frigid temps and the possibility of some good snowfall accumulations. Here's what the CFS is showing in the middle of February winter-wise.

 

Simulated radar

 

64-nodither.gif

 

Snow Accumulations

 

snod.conus.png

 

That is a foot of snow over most of Kentucky. Now let me reiterate this is not a prediction of any type. I well know that no one can predict the weather a month out. I just thought it was interesting because February marks the 3 year anniversary of my total knee replacement and I remember how snowy it was back then. So I just thought I would put it out there.

 

 

Take care and enjoy the mild but rainy period we are entering.

Today was beautiful. If not so wet, I could have golfed in NKY.

I'm really hoping this rain we're supposed to get either Sunday or Monday holds off long enough for the snow-melt to have time to sink into the ground. There's a lot of standing water in the low-lying areas of Nelson Co. that could quickly turn into flooding along the Rolling Fork River flatlands.

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I'm really hoping this rain we're supposed to get either Sunday or Monday holds off long enough for the snow-melt to have time to sink into the ground. There's a lot of standing water in the low-lying areas of Nelson Co. that could quickly turn into flooding along the Rolling Fork River flatlands.

 

Look for rainfall totals of around 1/2" in your area by the time the rain is over late Monday night or early Tuesday morning. There is a possibility of thunderstorms Monday but they'll be late in the day and I don't see anything severe as of this time.

 

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