September 19, 201511 yr The Reds have an absolute ton of young arms that will be available to them for next year's rotation. But, I don't know that there's any one of them that you could necessarily pencil in for 200+ innings. And even the lone "veteran" that'll be coming back (Homer Bailey), is returning from an injury...so, I think they'll be cautious with his innings, too. So, would it make sense for the Reds to go to a 6 man rotation to spread the starts/innings out for the 2016 season? Under normal circumstances, I'd say no way...I'd never want to trade multiple starts from my #1 (and even #2 ) starters to get extra appearances from my number 5 and number 6 guys. But, in this instance, I don't know that there's going to be that much disparity. And, I don't know that it'll affect the bullpen that much...they're still going to get worked to death. Even with a 5 man rotation, you're probably looking at a lot of 5-6 inning starts from these guys. And if your #1 or #2 guy is going the same distance as your #5 and #6 guy, it really makes no difference. So, would it make sense to do it?
September 19, 201511 yr It would make sense but those 6 are only going to go 3-6 innings so your bullpen would be dead. Maybe if you used 9 guys as starters but only 6 at a time and the other 3 were long relief. And those rotated. But then you are not developing the dreaded 7th and 8th inning guys. Meanwhile Chapman can pitch every 10th day in a 9th inning save situation.
September 21, 201511 yr I have often wondered if the concept of a 5 man rotation hasn't passed. I agree if you have a "hammer" or 2, put them on a schedule and let 'em pitch as scheduled unless injured. However, take the rest of the "rotation" and mix it up with some "startievers" / "relters." It would work particularly well if you have a mix of righties / lefties. Instead of having 5 starters, 2 longish relievers and 3/4 specialists (closer, setup, LHP to face lefties), construct the staff as 1/2 starters, 5-7 startievers and 2-4 specialists. Maybe you always list your starter as your pitcher until the game begins. Prevents opposing manager from loading up righty / lefty. Pick a startiever and they go 2-5 innings (depending on quality & pitch count) and hand it over to another startiever to bridge you to the specialists (if warranted based on game situation). Using 2 startievers each game puts you at needing 6-8 "arms" in your non-starter games (depending on whether you have 1 or 2 "hammers). But remember, the startievers don't have to wait 4 full days rest before next appearance. Long appearance, give 'em 3. Short appearance, bring 'em back on 1-2 days rest. Key question is how / when do you transition a very good startiever into a hammer starter? It would certainly be a great problem to have.
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