Region 1

(4) Monroe County at (1) Paducah Tilghman

(3) Edmonson county at (2) Trigg County

 

(3) Fort Campbell at (2) Adair County

(4) Webster County at (1) South Warren

 

 

Region 2

(4) LaRue County at (1) Corbin

(3) Henry County at (2) Bell County

(3) Wayne County at (2) Elizabethtown

(4) Casey County at (1) Central

 

 

Region 3

(4) Western Hills at (1) Russell

(3) Estill/Garrard/Bourbon at (2) Fleming county

(3) Mason County at (2) Estill/Garrard/Bourbon

(4) West Carter at (1) Estill/Garrard/Bourbon

 

 

Region 4

(4) Jackson County at (1) Belfry

(3) Morgan County at (2) Lawrence County

(3) Pike County Central at (2) Breathitt County

(4) Sheldon Clark at (1) Magoffin County

 

 

May not be 100% accurate but it's close.

Wonder how it will turn out if Estill wins and both Garrard and Bourbon lose next week?

So what are the scenarios in District 5 of Region 3? Estill, Garrad and Bourbon are all 7-2 and are are 1 loss in District. What are the tie breakers this deep?

Garrard:

Casey Co- 4 (4) Adair Co

Wayne Co- 3 (3) Rockcastle Co

Lincoln Co- 3

Bath Co- 1 (2) Nicholas Co

Powell Co- 2 (2) Morgan Co

Western Hills- 4 (4) Shelby Co

**West Jessamine- 1 **

 

Current Points: 14

Most Likely Points: 14

Highest Possible Points: 17

 

Current 2nd Level Tiebreaker Points:16

Most Likely 2nd Level Points: 16

Highest 2nd Level Points: 20

 

 

Estill Co:

Morgan-2 (3) Powell Co

Jackson Co- 1 (2) Clinton County

Magoffin Co- 6 (7) Lewis Co

Bath Co- 1 (2) Nicholas Co

Powell Co- 2 (2) Morgan Co

Western Hills- 4 (4) Shelby Co

**McCreary Central- 0**

Current Points:14

Most Likely Points:16

Highest Possible Points: 17

 

Current 2nd Level Tiebreaker Points:15

Most Likely 2nd Level Points: 18

Highest 2nd Level Points: 19

 

 

Bourbon Co:

Montgomery Co- 2 (3) Rowan Co

Breathitt Co- 4 (4) Letcher Central

Harrison Co-0 (0) Woodford Co

Powell Co- 2 (2) Morgan Co

Western Hills- 4 (4) Shelby Co

Bath Co- 1 (2) Nicholas Co

**GRC- 4**

 

Current Points:12

Most Likely Points:15

Highest Possible Points: 17

 

Current 2nd Level Tiebreaker Points:13

Most Likely 2nd Level Points: 17

Highest 2nd Level Points: 20

^^^

 

- Western Hills vs. Shelby Co doesn't help anyone

- Bourbon has to beat GRC to even have a chance

- Estill only has one real swing game, they need Magoffin to beat Lewis Co. In case of a 2nd level tiebreaker they also need Jackson Co to defeat Clinton Co.

- Garrard needs help big time! They need Casey County to upset Adair and they need Wayne County to win a 50/50 game vs. Rockcastle County.

- Morgan vs. Powell really has no effect on Estill since they will count both teams... but Bourbon desperately needs a Powell County win to maximize points. They also need a Breathitt County upset win and for Magoffin, Casey Co, and Wayne Co to all lose.

 

- Estill appears to be in the best spot.

^^^

 

- Western Hills vs. Shelby Co doesn't help anyone

- Bourbon has to beat GRC to even have a chance

- Estill only has one real swing game, they need Magoffin to beat Lewis Co. In case of a 2nd level tiebreaker they also need Jackson Co to defeat Clinton Co.

- Garrard needs help big time! They need Casey County to upset Adair and they need Wayne County to win a 50/50 game vs. Rockcastle County.

- Morgan vs. Powell really has no effect on Estill since they will count both teams... but Bourbon desperately needs a Powell County win to maximize points. They also need a Breathitt County upset win and for Magoffin, Casey Co, and Wayne Co to all lose.

 

- Estill appears to be in the best spot.

 

Certainly an interesting case for Magoffin. They won their district but if they lose to Lewis County will have lost to two different 3A teams who missed out on the playoffs all together.