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Projected pairings for Class 4-A football playoffs

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Here are the projected Class 4-A playoff pairings for the first round set for Nov. 7. Please keep in mind that the KHSAA will release the official pairings next week. Also, there are a lot of tiebreakers that won't be decided until after next week's games are played.

CLASS 4-A

REGION ONE

Breckinridge County (4) at Owensboro (1)

Calloway County (3) at Warren East (2)

Allen County-Scottsville (3) at Madisonville-North Hopkins (2)

Hopkins County Central (4) at Franklin-Simpson (1)

REGION TWO

Nelson County (4) at Collins/North Oldham/Spencer County (1)

Collins/North Oldham/Spencer County (3) at Doss/Fairdale/Western (2)

Doss/Fairdale/Western (3) at Collins/North Oldham/Spencer County (2)

Waggener (4) at Doss/Fairdale/Western (1)

REGION THREE

Clay County (4) at Lexington Catholic (1)

Marion County/Mercer County/Taylor County (3) at Rockcastle County (2)

Russell County (3) at Boyle County (2)

Marion County/Mercer County/Taylor County (4) at Knox Central (1)

REGION FOUR

Boyd County/Greenup County/Rowan County (4) at Highlands (1)

Holmes (3) at Ashland Blazer (2)

Boyd County/Greenup County/Rowan County (3) at Covington Catholic (2)

Harrison County (4) at Johnson Central (1)

 

Projected pairings for Class 4-A football playoffs

Disclaimer: The 3 way tie-breaker makes my eyes bleed and I usually get it wrong.

 

That said I THINK that if Bryan Station beats Ballard they win the district. I know that there are several other games that play a role but after looking at all of them it comes down to that.

LexCath should have a really easy trip to the region finals.

Disclaimer: The 3 way tie-breaker makes my eyes bleed and I usually get it wrong.

 

That said I THINK that if Bryan Station beats Ballard they win the district. I know that there are several other games that play a role but after looking at all of them it comes down to that.

 

Who is they?

Here's how I come to that conclusion.

 

Assuming Scott County beats Senaca they have 8 wins:

Lafayette-7 points

Ryle-4 Points

PRP-5(6) Points

Madison Central-3 points

North Hardin-2 Points

GR Clark-3(4) Points

Dunbar-3(4) Points

Seneca-5 Points

 

Best case scenario 23 total points using Lafayette, PRP, GR Clark and Seneca

 

Henry Clay is idle. They have 6 wins:

GR Clark-3(4) Points

Tates Creek-3 Points

Boone County-1(2) Points

Lafayette-7 points

Madison Central-3 points

Dunbar-3(4) Points

 

Best Case scenario 19 points using GR Clark, Tates Creek, Lafayette and Dunbar

 

Assuming Bryan Station beats Ballard they will have 6 wins:

Harlan County-2 Points

Lexington Catholic-6(7) Points

Tates Creek-3 Points

Lafayette-7 points

Dunbar-3(4) Points

Ballard-6 Points

 

Best Case scenario 24 points using LexCath, Lafayette, Dunbar and Ballard.

 

LexCath's final game is with Boone County. Assuming that is another point for Bryan Station even if Dunbar loses and Scott gets all the points they can from others Bryan Station still ties them in points and I believe then it goes head-to-head so Bryan Station gets the nod.

Who is they?

 

Bryan Station. As I said the 3 way tie breaker makes my eyeballs sweat and I'm usually wrong so I'm sorry I didn't state that more clearly.

Bryan Station. As I said the 3 way tie breaker makes my eyeballs sweat and I'm usually wrong so I'm sorry I didn't state that more clearly.

 

I think you should be in the 6A section then...

I think you should be in the 6A section then...

 

Thank you! I thought I was going crazy.

I think you should be in the 6A section then...

 

I told you this all made my brain itch. Is there any way a mod can move my posts to the 6A thread which is where they were supposed to go.. So sorry.

OK I did some copying and pasting and the deeply thought out and highly informative 6A information that was erroneously posted here has now been added to the proper thread. :up:

Collins will be the 3 seed in district 4. Yes there is technically a 3-way tie for first, but Collins will be 3rd.

Run the numbers. Collins still has a very slim chance

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