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Do you have a hat? Here’s what you do – write down Allen County-Scottsville, Barren County, Glasgow, and Monroe County on 4 separate strips of paper, fold them up, throw them in the hat. Rustle it around a few times, then pull one out. That method of choosing a champion for this district is almost as likely to produce the correct choice than one based on rational analysis. The district was just all over the place this year. The regular season only served to give us two teams tied for first, two teams tied for third, necessitating coin flips to break each. Preseason favorite and currently highest ranked team Barren County played six district games that were decided by a total of 17 points. Three of Allen County-Scottsville’s four losses came by a combined 11 points. #4 seed Glasgow blew out #1 Monroe County twice. It’s crazy.

 

To the matchups.....

 

15th District Tournament at Glasgow High School

February 25th

#1 Monroe County vs. #4 Glasgow – So Monroe County has to be thrilled. Four years go by without them being the #1 seed, but they win the tiebreaker at the district meeting to get the “plum” spot. You know they had to be hoping they’d get Allen County-Scottsville, a team they beat twice, most recently by 30 on February 7th. But no, they draw Glasgow. Waaaaay back in December the Falcons took down the Scotties 74-64 at Monroe County. That came a week after the Falcons had beaten Barren County on the road, and everything was looking great. But then came the All “A” Tournament matchup. Monroe County had just dealt Clinton County their only loss in region play for the year, and looked to be region favorites. Glasgow pulped them by 23 and went on to win the tournament. No problem, shake it off, didn’t count for the seeding purposes. Then Glasgow beat Monroe County by 12 about two weeks later, this time in Glasgow. Where the district tournament is to be played. It’s one of those rare cases that you ignore the seeds and look at the results. And the results say, Glasgow is winning this game. Prediction: Barren County by 5

 

February 26th

#2 Barren County vs. #3 Allen County-Scottsville – Barren County doesn’t have quite the squad they did last year, but they’ve been more than worthy of the favorite tag they had coming into the year, despite their close calls in district play. They lost only two district games, each by a point, and strangely enough both at home. While the other teams have had wild swings in momentum, for the most part, Barren County has stayed on an even keel. They played Warren Central to a 3 point game in early January, have won most of their close games (7-4 in games decided by 6 or less) and haven’t taken any terrible losses. It’s the type of performance you expect from a team with six seniors. Allen County-Scottsville, meanwhile, could scarcely have had worse luck during the year, especially in close games. They went 4-9 in games decided by 6 or less, three of those losses to 15th District teams. They recovered a bit late with a three game win streak, but had a stretch from late December to early February where they lost 10 of 12 games. Anything is possible, and they did split with Barren County in two games that were decided by a total of 3 points, but it’s hard to pick the Patriots here. But that’s not to say it isn’t possible they pull the upset. Prediction: Barren County by 6

 

February 28th

Predicted Matchup #4 Glasgow vs. #2 Barren County – Like last year, the winner and loser of this doesn’t have a huge amount on the line, because they want whoever comes out of the 13th District in the first round of region. Oh sure, maybe they’d like to avoid Warren Central out of the gate, but it’s not like whoever else comes out of the 14th isn’t tough as well, and the 16th District is the same way. But this predicted matchup would be a treat because these two rivals have played some outstanding games this year. Barren County swept the season, winning by 9 in early January and by 2 in OT earlier in February. In the first game, no one could miss. Both teams shot over 55% from the field and combined for 161 points. The second game had a lower score but ratcheted up the drama, with Glasgow missing an opportunity to win in regulation and having a three pointer that would have won it rim out at the close of OT. It’s always crazy when these two hook up, no reason to believe it won’t be again. History isn’t on Glasgow’s side – they haven’t won district at home since 1999. The Trojans are the two time defending champion. It says here they’ll make it three. Prediction: Barren County by 3

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