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nWo

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Posts posted by nWo

  1. Tornado Warning
    TNC021-037-043-147-092245-
    /O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0034.231209T2209Z-231209T2245Z/

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Nashville TN
    409 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

    The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

    * Tornado Warning for...
      Central Davidson County in Middle Tennessee...
      East central Dickson County in Middle Tennessee...
      Central Cheatham County in Middle Tennessee...
      South central Robertson County in Middle Tennessee...

    * Until 445 PM CST.

    * At 409 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
      was located near White Bluff, or 8 miles southwest of Ashland City,
      moving east at 40 mph.

      This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

      HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

      SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

      IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
               may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
               homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
               businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
               destruction is possible.

    * The tornado will be near...
      Ashland City around 415 PM CST.
      Joelton around 430 PM CST.

    Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Beaman
    Park, Whites Creek, and Bells Bend.

    This includes the following highways...
     Interstate 40 between mile markers 201 and 211.
     Interstate 65 between mile markers 85 and 97.
     Interstate 24 between mile markers 30 and 49.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
    tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
    to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
    building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
    a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
    yourself from flying debris.
     

  2. The Tornado Watch area has just been expanded eastward.

    mapserver.png.45082c2aaeae036209504b7dba4ceafa.png

     

    KYC001-021-045-053-057-137-155-207-217-100500-
    /O.NEW.KLMK.TO.A.0715.231209T2127Z-231210T0500Z/

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 715 IN
    EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/ TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
    AREAS

    IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

    IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY

    BOYLE CASEY LINCOLN
    MARION TAYLOR

    IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

    ADAIR CLINTON CUMBERLAND
    RUSSELL

    THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALBANY, AMANDAVILLE, ARGYLE,
    BURKESVILLE, CAMPBELLSVILLE, CANE VALLEY, CLEMENTSVILLE, COBURG,
    COLUMBIA, CREELSBORO, CROCUS, CUMBERLAND CITY, DANVILLE, DUBRE,
    DUNNVILLE, ELK HORN, ELLA, GLENS FORK, GRADYVILLE, HOBSON, JABEZ,
    JAMESTOWN, LEBANON, LIBERTY, MARROWBONE, MIDDLEBURG, MIDDLETOWN,
    MINTONVILLE, NEW MARKET, OLGA, PEYTONSBURG, ROWLAND,
    RUSSELL SPRINGS, SALEM, SALOMA, STANFORD, STATIC, WINDSOR,
    AND YUMA.

    • Thanks 1
  3. GA7GJ_ZbwAAzzJO.thumb.jpg.55253c6e5ce130d396671b5f3c7fc7bb.jpg

     

     URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
       Tornado Watch Number 714
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       1135 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

       The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

       * Tornado Watch for portions of 
         Southeast Arkansas
         Western and Central Kentucky
         Northern Mississippi
         Western and Middle Tennessee

       * Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
         700 PM CST.

       * Primary threats include...
         A few tornadoes likely
         Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
         Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

       SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
       and increase through early afternoon near an eastward-moving cold
       front, with additional/more isolated development also possible ahead
       of it later this afternoon. Increasingly low-level moisture and
       strong shear will support the potential for severe storms including
       a few tornadoes.

       The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
       east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Bowling Green KY to 5
       miles east southeast of Monticello AR. For a complete depiction of
       the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
       WOU4).

       PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

       REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
       tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
       area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
       threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
       and possible warnings.

  4. A few tornadoes, damaging to severe thunderstorm gusts, and isolated severe hail are possible today and tonight from portions of the Ohio Valley southward to the central Gulf Coast. A few tornadoes, damaging to severe thunderstorm gusts, and isolated severe hail are possible today and tonight from portions of the Ohio Valley southward to the central Gulf Coast.

    KY_swody1.thumb.png.a87962487795469ba351e9ade124f51c.png

     

    day1probotlk_1300_wind.gif.89d26fb3c9802e4974a54676f6b749b5.gif

     

    day1probotlk_1300_torn.gif.90be16ae21a74a39b5bc91b8eba9c6a1.gif

     

    day1probotlk_1300_hail.gif.52aef900e79ca7b5bfd6157bee6c7f57.gif

  5. The severe threat has increased since this morning. I expect the level 2 Slight Risk area to be expanded to include Louisville and points east to about I-75.  The main threat window for possible severe storms that could produce tornadoes is 4–10 p.m. EST. The severe storm threat should exit eastern Kentucky early Sunday morning.

    floop-nam4km-2023120818.ref1km_ptype.us_ov.thumb.gif.270ab632151ef4aacf9e61e8263b1bc5.gif

    floop-nam4km-2023120818.ehi03.us_ov.thumb.gif.1a18291db9a4674c26bc4efb675331bc.gif

    floop-nam4km-2023120818_scp.us_ov.thumb.gif.7948c64602db59169eb30afb0028d0df.gif

     

    floop-nam4km-2023120818_stp.us_ov.thumb.gif.15a3dfb302da6656e058c8344b411bb4.gif

  6. The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center has extended a level 2 Slight Risk Area into southcentral Kentucky. This area is centered around Bowling Green.  In advance of a cold front, conditions will be in place across parts of Texas and Louisiana Saturday morning and stream northward into parts of the Southeast and TN Valley through the day, which could allow severe storms to form. Surface-based thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage on Saturday afternoon. Large hail will be possible with any sustained supercells. Also, increasing low-level shear will be sufficient to support a tornado threat with any supercells that can be sustained from late afternoon into the evening, especially if stronger squall lines develop. Otherwise, damaging wind and possibly embedded, brief tornadoes may become the primary threat on Saturday night as storms move eastward, with a gradual weakening trend expected due to diminishing buoyancy. 

    KY_swody2.thumb.png.81d64bd55bc30ca61e5e709188b4f455.png

    • Thanks 1
  7. The level 1 Marginal Risk Area has been expanded to include much of Kentucky west of I-75. Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, hail, and a low-level tornado threat will be possible Saturday afternoon and evening. I will post an update later and possibly go into a severe weather alert day. 

     

    KY_swody2.thumb.png.c112d68f9e7cd13041648e138cf31402.png

     

    day2probotlk_0700_wind.gif.5bf91de6a8f0a114f057dc05ca1dea90.gif

     

    day2probotlk_0700_torn.gif.e293bb2c0b7fe6a4ff7f7eb6fb6b19f9.gif

     

    day2probotlk_0700_hail.gif.b9ce28ab0a0d13878b8a583facd51d52.gif

  8. Strong storms are possible on Saturday, mainly for western Kentucky.  With a highly amplified/positive-tilt upper trough over the central states, thunderstorm development will become widespread along and ahead of the front by afternoon. This trough will have strong southwesterly winds, bringing more warm, humid air from the south into Kentucky. As of now, dew points are forecast to rise into the 50s. If this trend continues, we could see dew points rise into the 60s. Air temperatures will also rise into the mid-to-upper 60s. As of now, in their day 4 outlook, the Storm Prediction Center omits WKY in the Slight Chance area, but I would not be surprised if that changes shortly. The storm segments possibly appear to be damaging winds, hail, and a low-end tornado threat. Updates will be posted soon.

     

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    floop-gfs-2023120612.ehi03.us_ov.thumb.gif.9b6cb4f07986f863986c0991d8918a92.gif

     

    floop-gfs-2023120612.sfctd-imp.conus.thumb.gif.f81961a1c8fe7d3c8b4e801537b7f92a.gif

    floop-gfs-2023120612.sfct-imp.conus.thumb.gif.65b63b047d55364b386e349a97fd05d3.gif

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