This is for the area I posted about earlier today that had a 2% chance of seeing a tornado.

The forecasted storms in that area look rough and like some of the formations are forecasted to hook or rotate. 

6 minutes ago, theguru said:

The forecasted storms in that area look rough and like some of the formations are forecasted to hook or rotate. 

This Fixed-Layer STP ensemble map shows that. The blue and dark blue show a reading between 1 and 2. Any reading above 1 indicates an increased potential for significant tornadoes (EF2 or greater). You can see why the tornado watch was issued for that section of southcentral Kentucky.

 

 

Here's a closer look.

4 minutes ago, nWo said:

This Fixed-Layer STP ensemble map shows that. The blue and dark blue show a reading between 1 and 2. Any reading above 1 indicates an increased potential for significant tornadoes (EF2 or greater). You can see why the tornado watch was issued for that section of southcentral Kentucky.

That is a lot of blue and makes sense to me.