Complications abound from overnight convection likely persisting into the daylight hours across the Ohio Valley. The front is forecast to continue to sag south and stall eventually across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic by midday Thursday. South of the boundary, low 60s F surface dewpoints and some filtered diurnal heating should support around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Several embedded mid-level disturbances may provide enough lift for additional storm development through the day. Several clusters of strong to severe storms are possible along the front with a risk primarily for damaging winds and a tornado or two, given the relatively poor mid-level lapse rates and veered low-level flow.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wind and rain and thunder and lightning in Maysville from 2 to 4 this morning. Missed the rough stuff. Now just rain. But the rain will be piling up.