URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Louisville KY
354 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

KYZ036-037-039>043-046>049-054>057-065>067-077-078-081-082-182100-
/O.NEW.KLMK.WW.Y.0002.250119T0600Z-250120T0000Z/
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-
Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-
Madison-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Versailles, Stanford, Campbellsville,
Cynthiana, Albany, Burkesville, Liberty, Danville, Georgetown,
Harrodsburg, Lebanon, Paris, Lexington, Jamestown, Lawrenceburg,
Lancaster, Columbia, Nicholasville, Richmond, Springfield,
Winchester, and Carlisle
354 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 /254 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and south central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and low visibility in
  snow showers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light to moderate snow showers will develop
  early Sunday morning and continue through the afternoon hours.
  Expect low visibility while traveling due to snow showers and
  breezy winds of 15-25 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For Kentucky Road
Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov

Hey I know you are the man @nWojust a quick question I just came across a post from Jude Redfield from Louisville's WDRB and he posted the Canadian Model and it showed most of the state. The amount of snowfall was a good bit more than I had seen. It has us receiving 3.1" in northern Kentucky to 4" between Lexington and Morehead. It has just under 2.5" in very southern central Kentucky. I was just curious how accurate this model usually is. If this were to happen and with the very cold temperatures headed our way the first of the week would not be good.

38 minutes ago, 16thBBall Fan said:

Hey I know you are the man @nWojust a quick question I just came across a post from Jude Redfield from Louisville's WDRB and he posted the Canadian Model and it showed most of the state. The amount of snowfall was a good bit more than I had seen. It has us receiving 3.1" in northern Kentucky to 4" between Lexington and Morehead. It has just under 2.5" in very southern central Kentucky. I was just curious how accurate this model usually is. If this were to happen and with the very cold temperatures headed our way the first of the week would not be good.

I'm seeing maybe an inch in northern Kentucky. 1-3 inches in my area. There appears to be another storm coming to end the week. Without getting too technical, the NAM (3 km) and HRRR have much better resolution than the GFS and NAM. The 3 km means the resolution is down to 3 kilometers, while the NAM is 12 kilometers. That means the lower NAM (3 km) provides a much more detailed and localized weather forecast.

1 hour ago, nWo said:

I'm seeing maybe an inch in northern Kentucky. 1-3 inches in my area. There appears to be another storm coming to end the week. Without getting too technical, the NAM (3 km) and HRRR have much better resolution than the GFS and NAM. The 3 km means the resolution is down to 3 kilometers, while the NAM is 12 kilometers. That means the lower NAM (3 km) provides a much more detailed and localized weather forecast.

Thanks below is the link to the Canadian model I saw. I just didn’t know much about this model. I hope it is the lower amount. 
 

https://www.facebook.com/reel/944330511009323/

4 minutes ago, 16thBBall Fan said:

Thanks below is the link to the Canadian model I saw. I just didn’t know much about this model. I hope it is the lower amount. 
 

https://www.facebook.com/reel/944330511009323/

One thing to note. The Canadian and GFS are global models. The NAM is a regional model. I go to the NAM or HRRR for a better look at winter and severe weather. They are better at narrowing down to a smaller area.

Here are the models that I am showing that I use mainly. They are the 12z run.

 

 

The Canadian showed this at the 00z run, which is 8 pm last night, so it is about 12 hours behind the other ones.

I forgot to add that I also use NAM 3K also.

 

KYZ028>035-038-045-053-063-064-074>076-191000-
/O.EXA.KLMK.WW.Y.0002.250119T0600Z-250120T0000Z/
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Spencer-Nelson-Larue-Hart-Green-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-
Including the cities of Louisville, Elizabethtown, La Grange,
Bardstown, Bedford, Glasgow, Shepherdsville, Frankfort,
Hodgenville, Milton, Greensburg, Edmonton, Tompkinsville,
Shelbyville, Horse Cave, New Castle, and Taylorsville
155 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 /1255 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2025/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, north central, and south central
Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and low visibility in
snow showers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light to moderate snow showers will develop
early Sunday morning and continue through the afternoon hours.
Expect low visibility while traveling due to snow showers and
breezy winds of 15-25 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For Kentucky Road
Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov

 

KYZ089-090-094>100-OHZ073-074-079-081-082-088-190430-
/O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0005.250119T0600Z-250119T1800Z/
Carroll-Gallatin-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-
Lewis-Ross-Hocking-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Camp Dix, Mount Olivet, West Union,
Owenton, Augusta, Pike Lake, Peebles, Ripley, Logan, Head Of
Grassy, Carrollton, Tollesboro, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Georgetown,
Piketon, Maysville, Chillicothe, Winchester, Brooksville,
Portsmouth, Wheelersburg, Mount Orab, Crittenden, Butler, Seaman,
Waverly, Aberdeen, Vanceburg, Manchester, Warsaw, and
Williamstown
212 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast and northern Kentucky and central,
south central, and southwest Ohio.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Additional snow showers possible through
Sunday evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Kentucky, visit
goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com
for the latest road information.