TP94 Power Ratings (9/18/24)

[Tigerpride94]

The ratings use AVG margin of victory/loss applied to AVG strength of schedule played. Out of state opponents are not counted in the ratings.

Class 6A:

Trinity		95.54
Saint Xavier		95.03
Male		93.08
Ryle		92.69
Frederick Douglass		91.97
Great Crossing		83.19
Manual		79.14
Madison Central		75.43
Bryan Station		72.61
George Rogers Clark		71.61
Henderson County		70.67
Fern Creek		70.54
Bullitt East		68.19
Oldham County		64.6
Ballard		63.09
McCracken County		62.1
Simon Kenton		57.83
Tates Creek		54.7
Meade County		54.27
North Hardin		53.11
Campbell County		52.72
Barren County		52.35
Central Hardin		47.91
Pleasure Ridge Park		40.36
Henry Clay		37.77
Paul Dunbar		37.72
Eastern		32.04
Lafayette		29.39
Daviess County		27.96
Warren Central		25.17
Southern		16.24
Christian County		11.34

 

Class 5A:

Cooper		89.18
Bowling Green		86.65
Highlands		83.71
South Warren		80.95
Woodford County		79.74
Owensboro		75.37
Pulaski County		70.52
South Oldham		66.28
Scott County		66.27
Conner		63.74
Madisonville N. Hopkins		61.77
Graves County		59.94
Atherton		57.3
Apollo		55.36
Greenwood		54.91
Collins		54
Dixie Heights		51.67
North Laurel		51.54
Southwestern		44.85
South Laurel		42.58
Madison Southern		39.63
Anderson County		38.85
Grayson County		36.78
East Jessamine		34.94
Harlan County		34.18
West Jessamine		33.75
Bullitt Central		33.11
North Bullitt		31.69
Butler		29.97
Marshall County		27.96
Montgomery County		27.37
Seneca		26.79
Boone County		26.3
Scott		23.24
Moore		23.17
Fairdale		20.9
Muhlenberg County		17.47
Ohio County		-1.45
Iroquois		-8.03

 

Class 4A:

Boyle County		105.7
Paducah Tilghman		99.23
Franklin County		88.24
Corbin		87.38
Covington Catholic		80.22
Ashland Blazer		77
North Oldham		75.07
Greenup County		70.9
Johnson Central		69.71
Allen Co. Scottsville		63.49
Bardstown		55.36
Boyd County		54.89
Warren East		54.57
Logan County		54.1
Letcher Co. Central		52.55
Mason County		52.14
Spencer County		52.07
Henry County		49.51
Russell County		49.3
Hopkinsville		45.99
Wayne County		45.36
Whitley County		45.19
DeSales		44.78
John Hardin		44.31
Taylor County		43.88
Western Hills		42.98
Lincoln County		40.22
Perry Co. Central		38.18
Grant County		28.52
Valley		25.78
Rowan County		25.11
Nelson County		24.91
Doss		21.43
Shelby County		11.03
Jeffersontown		9.32
Western		2.66
Thomas Nelson		1.89
Holmes		0.18
Harrison County		-0.58
Waggener		-2.76
Breckinridge County		-4.17
Calloway County		-5.95

 

Class 3A:

Christian Academy - Lou.		85.9
Central		69.51
Lexington Catholic		69.03
Belfry		61.91
Adair County		60.77
Bell County		60.09
Hart County		58.25
Hancock County		52.79
Lloyd Memorial		50.73
Union County		50.49
Glasgow		50.2
Rockcastle County		49.07
Lawrence County		47.75
Mercer County		46.16
Russell		45.25
Franklin Simpson		41.82
East Carter		41.04
Elizabethtown		40.56
Knox Central		37.52
Clay County		36.08
Marion County		35.57
Garrard County		29.96
McClean County		29.75
Larue County		28.15
McCreary Central		24.46
Trigg County		19.2
Webster County		18.75
Butler County		17.56
Fleming County		16.18
Estill County		15.22
West Carter		13.88
Powell County		13.82
Magoffin County		12.79
Hopkins Co. Central		12.76
Bath County		7.79
Casey County		4.13
Morgan County		0.79
Bourbon County		-2.38
Pendleton County		-7
Lewis County		-7.35

 

Class 2A:

Owensboro Catholic		87.69
Lexington Christian Academy		86.22
Beechwood		72.6
Mayfield		65.73
Somerset		50.37
Murray		45.21
Bracken County		44.94
Monroe County		40.53
Crittenden County		37.02
Martin County		34
Caldwell County		32.59
Prestonsburg		31.42
Betsy Lane		28.4
Breathitt County		28.08
Fort Campbell		26.16
Owen County		25.31
Shelby Valley		23.94
Washington County		22.95
Leslie County		22.82
Knott County Cent		20.34
Metcalfe County		19.71
Green County		19.23
Jackson County		18.67
WEB Dubois		17.78
Pike Co Central		15.44
Clinton County		14.7
Edmonson County		13.24
Walton Verona		7.96
Danville		7
Todd Co. Central		5.91
Carroll County		4.52
Shawnee		-2.76
Fort Knox		-6.44
Floyd Central		-9.09
East Ridge		-9.7
Gallatin County		-17.87

 

Class 1A:

Hazard		64.9
Pikeville		63.86
Campbellsville		63.53
Sayre		62.28
Raceland		60.14
Newport Cen Cath		55.26
Paris		49.41
KY Country Day		45.09
Bethlehem		44.76
Bishop Brossart		39.33
Lou Holy Cross		32.68
Fulton County		32.66
Ballard Memorial		32.51
Newport		29.78
Ludlow		28.97
Caverna		28.03
Eminence		27.72
Paintsville		25.66
Frankfort		24.73
Williamsburg		24.19
Middlesboro		23.97
Russellville		20.39
Bellevue		14.29
Cov. Holy Cross		9.95
Nicholas County		8.35
Fairview		7.49
Pineville		1.58
Lynn Camp		-2.03
Harlan		-5.38
Dayton		-5.89
Phelps		-15.29
Berea		-19.42
Trimble County		-20.83
Jenkins		-29.78

 

Top 20:

Boyle County		105.7
Paducah Tilghman		99.23
Trinity		95.54
St. Xavier		95.03
Male		93.08
Ryle		92.69
Frederick Douglass		91.97
Cooper		89.18
Franklin County		88.24
Owensboro Catholic		87.69
Corbin		87.38
Bowling Green		86.65
Lexington Christian Academy		86.22
Christian Academy - Lou.		85.9
Highlands		83.71
Great Crossing		83.19
South Warren		80.95
Covington Catholic		80.22
Woodford County		79.74
Manual		79.14

[rjal]

Is there a max-margin they use, like in basketball or soccer tournaments?  If not, it seems like a somewhat flawed system with no out-of-state teams and rewarding teams for running up the score. Although there are definitely flaws in all the systems.

[Tigerpride94]

1 hour ago, rjal said:

Is there a max-margin they use, like in basketball or soccer tournaments?  If not, it seems like a somewhat flawed system with no out-of-state teams and rewarding teams for running up the score. Although there are definitely flaws in all the systems.

I limit the margin to 40 pts if the difference in rating is less than 40 pts to prevent running the score up which will effect the rating. Also for example, if Boyle County was playing lowest rated team in state then Boyle's rating would not be hurt if only win by 50 showing mercy where they should win by over 100. It's not perfect but overall does good job and like any system gets better as season goes on. Last year, it correctly picked the winner of every championship game. I don't think it will do that every year but was impressed it did that.