South Warren at Logan County Predictions/Updates

[Purple88]

South Warren fresh off a 42-14 home win vs District Mate Greenwood will look to end the regular season with a convincing win prior to heading into the playoffs.

Logan County is 7-2 on the year, undefeated in their 4A district and ready to battle the Spartans.

 

South Warren is the clear favorite in this game with a Senior-laden team that has a desire to go very deep in the playoffs.

However, the injury bug has taken a toll, as arguably their best player Christian Conyers has been out since September 10 vs Gipson So (IN).  I'm told several others are also out/nursing injuries.  So I look for Sparty to try to hit the Cougars quickly so they can rest the starters as much as they can.

For Logan County, they will host the first 2 rounds of the playoffs as long as they win the first round game.  They have a solid team and outside of the 4A big boys, I think they have a good chance to move deeper into the playoffs.  But this game likely won't be kind to them from the standpoint that I feel South's defense will simply bottle their offense up and dictate the game.

Give me:  

South 38

Logan County 13

[Spartandad]

1 hour ago, Purple88 said:

South Warren fresh off a 42-14 home win vs District Mate Greenwood will look to end the regular season with a convincing win prior to heading into the playoffs.

Logan County is 7-2 on the year, undefeated in their 4A district and ready to battle the Spartans.

 

South Warren is the clear favorite in this game with a Senior-laden team that has a desire to go very deep in the playoffs.

However, the injury bug has taken a toll, as arguably their best player Christian Conyers has been out since September 10 vs Gipson So (IN).  I'm told several others are also out/nursing injuries.  So I look for Sparty to try to hit the Cougars quickly so they can rest the starters as much as they can.

For Logan County, they will host the first 2 rounds of the playoffs as long as they win the first round game.  They have a solid team and outside of the 4A big boys, I think they have a good chance to move deeper into the playoffs.  But this game likely won't be kind to them from the standpoint that I feel South's defense will simply bottle their offense up and dictate the game.

Give me:  

South 38

Logan County 13

South has been nursing some injuries lately. Willingham, one of their better receivers, went out with a shoulder injury during the Christian County game. Not sure if he'll be back or not. Conyers has been out almost the entire season. However, look for South to bring him back this week so he has at least one game in prior to the playoffs. The very talented Dervisevic (kicker, returner and receiver) had a severe ankle sprain during the Greenwood game. I wouldn't expect him to play this week. Expect South to do a few 2 point conversions instead of extra points if that holds true.

I don't believe that Logan County's offense will be nearly as productive as Greenwood's was last week. I also would expect that South doesn't put the 2nd string guys in this week before there's a running clock, like they did last week. The Greenwood game was senior night, so Smith took advantage and played a lot of the non-starting seniors earlier throughout the night.

With all that said, I would think we should expect the halftime score to be around 38-0. Logan county will probably score in the 2nd half, as will South's JV.

Final

South 45 - Logan - 7

You never know though. I was surprised to see that Logan put up 49 against Christian County. CC doesn't have a great defense, but 7 scores is pretty impressive regardless of who you're playing against. They might have a few surprises for South.

 

 

[Purple88]

7 minutes ago, Spartandad said:

I was surprised to see that Logan put up 49 against Christian County. CC doesn't have a great defense, but 7 scores is pretty impressive regardless of who you're playing against. They might have a few surprises for South.

 

 

Agree with all your post above, except the surprised by Logan putting 49 on CC.  This is one of the lower CC teams I've ever seen.  Not surprised.  That said, they won't have anything for the South first string defense IMO.

[FB Head]

Great work for Logan County in scheduling this game.  Logan is a solid squad that has flipped their program in a couple of years.  They seemed to be on the right track.  This game vs South is a measuring stick to see where you are and they will see what a sound title contender looks like.

With that being said, I don't think Logan gets within 21 of the Spartans unless South calls off the dogs.  Hope both teams play without injuries heading into playoffs!

[Spartandad]

2 hours ago, Purple88 said:

Agree with all your post above, except the surprised by Logan putting 49 on CC.  This is one of the lower CC teams I've ever seen.  Not surprised.  That said, they won't have anything for the South first string defense IMO.

I agree that CC is weak this year. I am also not surprised that Logan County beat them. However, I am surprised how many points LC's offense put up compared to other teams we know. Greenwood scored 39, South Warren 51, Bowling Green 37. So on paper, it does look like LC has a pretty powerful offense. However, I went back to that game and looked at the actual stats. Their offensive success was really a function of their defense. They had 3 interceptions and 3 forced fumbles. The offense did not have to travel very far to score. 

I'm still saying that it will probably be 45-7 for the final.

[jcarter]

South Leads 21-3 with 3 minutes before half

Bell with a 75 yard TD run.

[jcarter]

28-3 South late in 3rd quarter

[jcarter]

South 41 

Logan County 3

late in the 4th

[jcarter]

Final 41-3 South over Logan