October 6, 20215 yr Buffalo 63.01 (3-1) Arizona 62.85 (4-0) Dallas 59.93 (3-1) LA Chargers 55.74 (3-1) Carolina 55.59 (3-1) Cleveland 54.70 (3-1) Tampa Bay 53.94 (3-1) Kansas City 53.93 (2-2) New Orleans 53.74 (2-2) Minnesota 53.44 (1-3) LA Rams 52.99 (3-1) Denver 50.76 (3-1) Baltimore 50.15 (3-1) Cinncinnati 48.03 (3-1) Las Vegas 47.85 (3-1) Seattle 47.52 (2-2) New England 46.26 (1-3) Pittsburgh 44.45 (1-3) Philadelphia 44.20 (1-3) Washington 44.10 (2-2) Indianapolis 43.93 (1-3) Tennessee 43.77 (2-2) San Francisco 43.42 (2-2) Houston 42.95 (1-3) NY Giants 41.82 (1-3) Green Bay 41.73 (3-1) Chicago 41.69 (2-2) Miami 40.08 (1-3) NY Jets 39.60 (1-3) Jacksonville 39.41 (0-4) Detroit 33.72 (0-4) Atlanta 32.04 (1-3)
October 6, 20215 yr So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. ? Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower?
October 6, 20215 yr Author 2 hours ago, theguru said: So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. ? Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower? Small sample size with only 4 games. Buffalo wins are overpowering their loss. Green Bay 3-1 and low because they were blown out one of their games so as play more games each game counts less as a % of rating and I expect Green Bay to move up some. As far as spread, rating difference would be a hypothetical victory margin but have to add in 3 points for home field advantage.
October 6, 20215 yr Just now, Tigerpride94 said: Small sample size with only 4 games. Buffalo wins are overpowering their loss. Green Bay 3-1 and low because they were blown out one of their games so as play more games each game counts less as a % of rating and I expect Green Bay to move up some. As far as spread, rating difference would be a hypothetical victory margin but have to add in 3 points for home field advantage. Can I get the Bengals and 10?
October 6, 20215 yr Author 12 minutes ago, theguru said: Can I get the Bengals and 10? Spread is Green Bay -3. I would take the Bengals +3. I like home dogs and the ratings say Bengals should be favored and not a dog.
October 6, 20215 yr Author 2 hours ago, theguru said: So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. ? Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower? Sagarin computer ratings have Buffalo #1 also. Good to have some confirmation from one of most recognized computer ratings.
October 7, 20215 yr Author I'm going to track from this point on how the ratings do against the spread. This is what it says to take this week. Odds from scoresandodds.com: Jets +3 Buccaneers -10 Panthers -3.5 Saints -2 Jaguars +4.5 Vikings -9 Broncos +1 Bengals +3 Texans +8.5 Raiders -5.5 Chargers -2 Cowboys -7 Cardinals -5 Bills +2.5 Ravens -7
October 11, 20215 yr Author On 10/7/2021 at 12:29 PM, Tigerpride94 said: I'm going to track from this point on how the ratings do against the spread. This is what it says to take this week. Odds from scoresandodds.com: Jets +3 Buccaneers -10 Panthers -3.5 Saints -2 Jaguars +4.5 Vikings -9 Broncos +1 Bengals +3 Texans +8.5 Raiders -5.5 Chargers -2 Cowboys -7 Cardinals -5 Bills +2.5 Ravens -7 Power ratings went 7-6 against the spread yesterday. Just have Monday night game tonight left so will be 8-6 or 7-7. New ratings out tomorrow with picks.
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