TP94 NFL Power Ratings - (10/6)

[Tigerpride94]

Buffalo		63.01	(3-1)
Arizona		62.85	(4-0)
Dallas		59.93	(3-1)
LA Chargers		55.74	(3-1)
Carolina		55.59	(3-1)
Cleveland		54.70	(3-1)
Tampa Bay		53.94	(3-1)
Kansas City		53.93	(2-2)
New Orleans		53.74	(2-2)
Minnesota		53.44	(1-3)
LA Rams		52.99	(3-1)
Denver		50.76	(3-1)
Baltimore		50.15	(3-1)
Cinncinnati		48.03	(3-1)
Las Vegas		47.85	(3-1)
Seattle		47.52	(2-2)
New England		46.26	(1-3)
Pittsburgh		44.45	(1-3)
Philadelphia		44.20	(1-3)
Washington		44.10	(2-2)
Indianapolis		43.93	(1-3)
Tennessee		43.77	(2-2)
San Francisco		43.42	(2-2)
Houston		42.95	(1-3)
NY Giants		41.82	(1-3)
Green Bay		41.73	(3-1)
Chicago		41.69	(2-2)
Miami		40.08	(1-3)
NY Jets		39.60	(1-3)
Jacksonville		39.41	(0-4)
Detroit		33.72	(0-4)
Atlanta		32.04	(1-3)

[theguru]

So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. 🙂

Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower?

[Tigerpride94]

2 hours ago, theguru said:

So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. 🙂

Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower?

Small sample size with only 4 games. Buffalo wins are overpowering their loss. Green Bay 3-1 and low because they were blown out one of their games so as play more games each game counts less as a % of rating and I expect Green Bay to move up some.

As far as spread, rating difference would be a hypothetical victory margin but have to add in 3 points for home field advantage.

[theguru]

Just now, Tigerpride94 said:

Small sample size with only 4 games. Buffalo wins are overpowering their loss. Green Bay 3-1 and low because they were blown out one of their games so as play more games each game counts less as a % of rating and I expect Green Bay to move up some.

As far as spread, rating difference would be a hypothetical victory margin but have to add in 3 points for home field advantage.

Can I get the Bengals and 10?

[Tigerpride94]

12 minutes ago, theguru said:

Can I get the Bengals and 10?

Spread is Green Bay -3. I would take the Bengals +3. I like home dogs and the ratings say Bengals should be favored and not a dog. 

[Tigerpride94]

2 hours ago, theguru said:

So you have the Bengals as a 6.5 favorite this week. 🙂

Also, how do the Bills rank number one with a bad loss to a team rated 20 points lower?

Sagarin computer ratings have Buffalo #1 also. Good to have some confirmation from one of most recognized computer ratings.

[Tigerpride94]

I'm going to track from this point on how the ratings do against the spread. This is what it says to take this week. Odds from scoresandodds.com:

Jets +3

Buccaneers -10

Panthers -3.5

Saints -2

Jaguars +4.5

Vikings -9

Broncos +1

Bengals +3

Texans +8.5

Raiders -5.5

Chargers -2

Cowboys -7

Cardinals -5

Bills +2.5

Ravens -7

[Tigerpride94]

On 10/7/2021 at 12:29 PM, Tigerpride94 said:

I'm going to track from this point on how the ratings do against the spread. This is what it says to take this week. Odds from scoresandodds.com:

Jets +3

Buccaneers -10

Panthers -3.5

Saints -2

Jaguars +4.5

Vikings -9

Broncos +1

Bengals +3

Texans +8.5

Raiders -5.5

Chargers -2

Cowboys -7

Cardinals -5

Bills +2.5

Ravens -7

Power ratings went 7-6 against the spread yesterday. Just have Monday night game tonight left so will be 8-6 or 7-7. New ratings out tomorrow with picks.