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Thursday Winter Weather Outlook

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Since both of the weather models(NAM,GFS) are in good agreement this morning I'm going to go ahead and post about the possible winter weather on Thursday.

 

Snow looks to move in overnight Wednesday or early Thursday morning. It should move eastward across the state and end by Thursday evening. For now, total accumulations look to be 1-3". The heaviest amounts look to be from around the I-64 corridor northward. With a dusting to 1" south of that area.

 

I'll post an update this evening.

 

Nam

 

snku_acc.us_ovt7pm n.png

GFS

 

snku_acc.us_ovt7pm.png

  • Author

From the NWS-Louisville office

 

Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-

Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-

Bullitt-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-

Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-

Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-

Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-

Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-

Including the cities of...Paoli...Salem...Scottsburg...Madison...

Jasper...English...Tell City...Corydon...New Albany...

Jeffersonville...Lewisport...Hawesville...Hardinsburg...

Brandenburg...Hartford...Leitchfield...Elizabethtown...

Shepherdsville...Louisville...La Grange...Bedford...Milton...

New Castle...Shelbyville...Frankfort...Georgetown...Cynthiana...

Taylorsville...Lawrenceburg...Versailles...Lexington...Paris...

Carlisle...Bardstown...Springfield...Harrodsburg...

Nicholasville...Winchester...Hodgenville...Lebanon...Danville...

Lancaster...Richmond...Morgantown...Brownsville...Horse Cave...

Greensburg...Campbellsville...Liberty...Stanford...Russellville...

Bowling Green...Franklin...Providence...Scottsville...Glasgow...

Tompkinsville...Edmonton...Columbia...Jamestown...Burkesville...

Albany

330 PM EST Tue Jan 3 2017 /230 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2017/

 

...First Accumulating Snow of the Season Likely Thursday...

 

Confidence is increasing that the first widespread accumulating

snow of the season will come to portions of southern Indiana and

central Kentucky Thursday and Thursday night. At this time, 1 to 2

inches of snow is forecast with the potential for localized 3 inch

amounts. The greatest chance for this accumulating snow is across

southern Indiana and north central Kentucky, however slight

changes in the track of the weather system could result in shifts

further north or south.

 

This snow could result in negative travel impacts to motorists,

especially during the morning and evening commute times. Research

incorporating traffic accidents and winter precipitation show

that the first accumulating snow of the season typically results in

a higher frequency of accidents. Please stay tuned to the latest

forecasts.

 

I'll update later this evening.

  • Author
When you update later this evening, have a different outlook please.

 

:thumb:

  • Author

The models are going back and forth for now. The NAM is showing pretty much what the GFS was showing this morning and the GFS is showing what the NAM was so I'm not going to change anything as of yet. I might change some things with the next update in the morning. FYI the accumulation totals may go up some especially in southeastern Kentucky if the modeling trends continue.

  • Author

Since this looks to be our first significant snow accumulations of the winter I'm going into a Winter Weather Threat Mode. I'll be starting a new thread.

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