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Monday Severe Weather Outlook


nWo

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Posted

I thought I would go ahead and look at our next shot for severe weather. As of now that looks like Monday afternoon into the early evening hours. Strong to severe storms could be possible. For now the tornado threat is very low. As of now, it looks like from around the I-75 corridor towards EKY.

 

I'll post updates as we get closer.

 

ehi03.us_ov.png

 

Supercell Thunderstorms

 

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Posted

So far the information I use is not showing a big tornado threat but we are still a little less than a couple of days away.

Posted

Sunday morning update.

 

The models are not much in agreement yet so how bad the severe threat for late Monday afternoon into the evening hours is still up in the air. Actually this mornings NAM runs have shifted the severe threat to the west some. Because of the first round of rain that could come through during the day on Monday the severe threat maybe tempered. For now it looks like the main threats are torrential downpours, lighting and hail. For EKY the tornado threat is near zero. The threat has increased some for WKY.

 

Another threat for Monday will be the heat index. West of I-65 Kentucky could see a heat index around 100. WKY from about Owensboro back westward could see heat indices as high as 110. It could reach 113 around Owensboro. Around the i-75 corridor the heat index looks to be in the mid to upper 90s.

 

I'll update later this evening.

 

ehi03.us_ov 8.png

 

Heat Index

 

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Dew Point

 

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Posted

Bowling Green area is getting blasted with heat/humidity and rain(storms) this summer,according to people I know there. This past winter was extreme for them as well

Posted
Bowling Green area is getting blasted with heat/humidity and rain(storms) this summer,according to people I know there. This past winter was extreme for them as well

I follow the weather in Bowling Green closely.

Posted

No real change in the outlook for tomorrow. The first round of showers and thunderstorms look to pass through parts of Kentucky mainly east of I-65 between 11 am and 5 pm EDT. Then there looks to be a break. The second round maybe entering NKY around 11 pm EDT. and pass through during the early morning hours.

 

For now the possible severe storms don't look to be widespread. Any storm that develop could drop some heavy rain and have lightning. I will update in the morning.

Posted

My Summer Softball League plays its final round of double-headers on Tuesday in Newport.......what's the chance I get them in........and don't have to reschedule for Wednesday?

Posted
My Summer Softball League plays its final round of double-headers on Tuesday in Newport.......what's the chance I get them in........and don't have to reschedule for Wednesday?

 

Right now it looks like you'll have no problems for Tuesday. I'll post an update if the information changes.

Posted

Monday morning update.

 

Showers and possible strong storms look to enter into NKY around 8 am this morning. Some could see localized heavy downpours. This line of storms should be in SEKY by late this afternoon. The second line of storms should enter NKY around 4 pm. The tornado threat has risen some for those in the area between I-65 and I-75. It is low but there is still a possibility of a brief spin up with the second line.

 

Of course I'll update throughout the day when I can if any thing changes.

 

Most of Kentucky is in a Marginal Risk Category for today.

 

KY_swody1.png

 

 

Simulated HRRR Radars

 

8 am EDT

 

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2 pm EDT

 

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4 pm EDT

 

refcmp.us_ov4pm.png

Posted
@Lawnboy13 For now it looks good for your tournament tonight. May see some showers moving into the NKY area around 11 pm tonight.

 

It's the last night of the summer league, it can rain all it wants at 11 tonight. :lol2:

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