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Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook

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We look to have a cold front pass through the upper Ohio Valley on Tuesday. Thunderstorm activity maybe ongoing along or just ahead of the front. These storms are forecast to gradually intensify and with new cells forming during the late morning or early afternoon.

 

Storms may get reorganized and fire up during the later afternoon and early evening.

 

As of now it looks like most of the activity will be confined from I-64 northward. Louisville, Lexington, Cincinnati are some of the major cities in the slight risk area.

 

The main threats look to be large hail and damaging winds. A tornado or two can't be ruled out.

 

Also I'm watching the end of the week. That seems to be the best time to see a more organized and widespread severe weather event.

 

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  • Author

Tuesday morning update:

 

As a cold front moves SEWD through the state today we will have a chance for strong to severe storms. The main threats look to be isolated wind damage and hail. As of now the the time frame for these storms look to be during the afternoon and early evening.

 

We look to have to go through this again Thursday night into Friday morning then again on Friday evening.

 

I'll update later today.

 

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  • Author
How is it looking for Buffett tonight at Riverbend?

Right now it looks like you should be ok. I'll watch it and post updates when I can. Cincinnati and extreme NKY are not in the slight risk area as of this morning. Just in the marginal risk area. You could see some showers and possible storms but there's not much of chance at the moment.

How is it looking for Buffett tonight at Riverbend?

 

Drunk.

  • Author
How is it looking for Buffett tonight at Riverbend?

 

After checking some graphs it looks like any precipitation around Riverbend should be over around 4 pm or so.

  • Author

I"ll post an update early this afternoon. Right now it looks like the best chance for strong to severe storms is south of I-64 and east of I-65 during the afternoon hours between 4-8 pm.

  • Author

Look for a severe thunderstorm watch to be issued soon for NEKY. Cities I look to be in the watch area are Maysville, Morehead and Ashland. There's an 80% chance that a watch will be issued.

  • Author

Afternoon update:

 

The slight risk area has be decreased some. It now encompasses parts of SCKY, EKY, CKY and NEKY. The best time period seems to be between 4 pm to 8 pm EDT.

 

Storms are expected to increase in both coverage and intensity as the afternoon progresses. The main threats look to be damaging winds and hail.

 

The rest of Kentucky could see some widely scatter showers and storms also.

 

Severe weather outlook

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4 pm to 8 pm thunderstorm outlook

 

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  • Author

The watch was issued but Kentucky wasn't included. Those in the aforementioned area should keep an eye on their weather.

 

Some storms are starting to form around north of Lexington and are moving towards the southeast.

Getting that feeling that everything is heading south this summer, just like in winter everything veers north. It's almost 4 here and not a cloud in the sky, humidity is kicking

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