Okay ladies and gentlemen, you got a little taste of the Hensley Rating System towards the end of the regular season and now it is time to break out the HRS predictions for the 2010 postseason.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantral Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last couple of seasons, I have done a postseason version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now, most first round games will be easy to predict but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

 

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for Class 2A entirely and the HRS predictions:

 

 

92.45 Newport Central Catholic

86.60 Danville

80.15 Murray

80.05 Owensboro Catholic

77.40 Christian Academy-Louisville

77.40 Holy Cross (Covington)

77.25 Green County

76.80 DeSales

76.65 Corbin

76.20 Fort Campbell

73.65 Glasgow

69.55 Prestonsburg

68.75 Monroe County

68.75 Washington County

65.70 Middlesboro

65.45 Caldwell County

63.85 Hancock County

57.95 Newport

54.85 Trigg County

50.40 Fort Knox

50.20 Bardstown

43.50 Reidland

39.80 Lloyd Memorial

38.00 Carroll County

36.75 Shelby Valley

30.50 Owen County

30.50 Morgan County

28.05 Leslie County

26.00 Todd County Central

21.65 Bath County

20.45 Metcalfe County

2.90 Knott County Central

 

 

 

Region One (4) Todd County Central at (1) Murray – MHS by 60.15

(3) Trigg County at (2) Fort Campbell – FC by 27.35

(4) Reidland at (1) Owensboro Catholic – OC by 42.55

(3) Hancock County at (2) Caldwell County – CC by 7.6

Region Two

(4) Fort Knox at (1) Glasgow – GHS by 29.25

(3) Monroe County at (2) Washington County – WC by 6

(4) Metcalfe County at (1) Danville – DHS by 72.15

(3) Bardstown at (2) Green County – GC by 33.05

Region Three

(4) Lloyd Memorial at (1) DeSales – DHS by 43

(3) Carroll County at (2) Covington Holy Cross – HC by 45.4

(4) Owen County at (1) Newport Central Catholic – NCC by 67.95

(3) Newport at (2) Christian Academy-Lou. – CAL by 25.45

Region Four

(4) Knott County Central at (1) Prestonsburg – Pburg by 72.65

(3) Morgan County at (2) Middlesboro – MHS by 41.2

(4) Bath County at (1) Corbin – CHS by 61

(3) Leslie County at (2) Shelby Valley – SV by 14.7

It looks to me like the Monroe/ Washington game may be the one to watch this week since they have the same rating!!!!

ttt

:thumb:This is awesome.

 

They all look pretty spot on to me, but DeSales did beat CAL so I don't see how they could be ranked lower. I haven't followed either teams season closely, but I did see that DeSales won that game. Any reason for this?

ttt