May 6, 20188 yr We have a chance to see a couple of days of severe weather by the middle of the week. First chance looks to be Wednesday afternoon into the overnight hours, especially for Western Kentucky. The possible storm looks to refire on Thursday afternoon into the evening hours. These could be more widespread. I will be updating daily until we get closer.
May 7, 20188 yr Author Starting on Wednesday Kentucky will see a chance of strong to severe weather every day through the weekend. The following maps are just through Friday. Seems we may be entering a stormy period that could last into next week. I will start posting more detailed information as we get closer. Wednesday Thursday Friday
May 7, 20188 yr Author The chance for severe weather Wednesday afternoon into the early morning hours on Thursday appears to have grown some since yesterday. Here is what the latest NAM EHI is showing the likely conditions could be from around 2 pm to 2 am EDT. Here's the GFS radar for the same time period. I'm watching this very closely now as we get closer. I will update early Tuesday morning.
May 7, 20188 yr The chance for severe weather Wednesday afternoon into the early morning hours on Thursday appears to have grown some since yesterday. Here is what the latest NAM EHI is showing the likely conditions could be from around 2 pm to 2 am EDT. [ATTACH=CONFIG]66234[/ATTACH] Here's the GFS radar for the same time period. [ATTACH=CONFIG]66235[/ATTACH] I'm watching this very closely now as we get closer. I will update early Tuesday morning. NWO - The time stamp on that NAM is that Zulu time? So if it's saying 6:00Z on 5/10/2018 that really means 2:00 am EST?
May 8, 20188 yr Author NWO - The time stamp on that NAM is that Zulu time? So if it's saying 6:00Z on 5/10/2018 that really means 2:00 am EST? You are correct. It is also called UTC or Universal Time Coordinated.
May 8, 20188 yr Author The threat is still there for conditions to be favorable for the development of strong to severe storms Wednesday afternoon into the early morning hours on Thursday. It has actually increased for parts of Southern Indiana and Western Kentucky. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of Kentucky west of I-65 in a Marginal Risk Area for strong to severe storms. The timing for the strongest storms look to be between 5-8 pm EDT. According to the current modeling data the threats look to be damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two. If the conditions continue as they are I fully expect the threat level to increase later today. If the current modeling data continues I will issue a severe weather alert day this evening for Wednesday. Check for updates later today.
May 8, 20188 yr Author The severe weather threat for Wednesday afternoon into the overnight hours continue. The modeling data continues to show that condition may develop that will be conducive to the development of strong to severe thunderstorms. Supercell storm development may also be possible. The main threats at this time look to be damaging winds and hail. For now, the tornado threat is low so I'm going to hold off on issuing a severe weather alert day until morning. There appears to two lines of storms that will pass through Kentucky and parts of Indiana an Ohio. The first line will come through Wednesday afternoon or early evening. The second batch of storms looks to be stronger and mainly effect Indiana, Ohio and Northern Kentucky. The timing for this second batch looks to be after midnight. The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Marginal Risk Area to include Louisville and parts of Northern Kentucky. I will update early in the morning. Sooner if the information warrants it.
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.