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2011 Hensley Rating System: Class 6A Playoffs Week #1

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Okay ladies and gentlemen, it is once again that time of year for me to break out the Hensley Rating System for the Kentucky HS football playoffs.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantrall Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last few seasons, I have done a post-season version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now most first round games will be easy to predict, but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

 

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for Class 6A and the HRS predictions:

 

 

Class 6A

129.45 Trinity (Louisville)

109.30 St. Xavier

104.50 Scott County

99.65 Butler

96.65 duPont Manual

94.30 Boone County

94.05 Ryle

90.95 Eastern

90.00 Pleasure Ridge Park

89.50 Meade County

88.80 Henderson County

85.50 Male

84.40 Lafayette

80.25 Ballard

79.85 Bryan Station

78.00 Campbell County

77.70 Madison Central

77.25 Central Hardin

76.70 Henry Clay

76.45 Dixie Heights

72.50 George Rogers Clark

72.45 Simon Kenton

71.00 Fern Creek

70.55 Oldham County

68.00 Tates Creek

67.40 Seneca

61.15 Marshall County

59.80 Southern

57.30 Paul L. Dunbar

53.45 Nelson County

50.65 Daviess County

19.35 Muhlenberg County

 

 

 

Region 1

Southern (4-6) at Henderson County (7-3) - HC by 35

Daviess County (3-7) at Pleasure Ridge Park (8-2) - PRP by 45.35

Seneca (2-8) at Marshall County (6-4) - SHS by 0.35

Muhlenberg County (0-9) at Butler (8-2) - Butler by 86.3

Region 2

Male (3-7) at Meade County (4-6) - MC by 10

Nelson County (1-9) at St. Xavier (6-4) - X by 61.85

duPont Manual (8-2) at Central Hardin (6-4) - M by 13.4

Simon Kenton (2-8) at Trinity (9-0) - T by 63

Region 3

Paul L. Dunbar (1-9) at Eastern (8-2) - EHS by 39.65

Fern Creek (4-6) at Bryan Station (6-4) - BS by 14.85

Henry Clay (3-7) at Ballard (4-6) - BHS by 9.55

Oldham County (2-8) Scott County (10-0) - SC by 39.95

 

Region 4

Tates Creek (3-7) at Campbell County (3-7) - CC by 16

Dixie Heights (3-7) at Lafayette (7-3) - LHS by 13.95

George Rogers Clark (3-7) at Ryle (6-4) - RHS by 27.55

Boone County (6-4) at Madison Central (5-5) - BC by 10.6

Nice work, you married?
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
Nice work, you married?

 

If so, does she have a sister?

  • Author

lol. Not married and I do have two sisters...they're both off limits...lol.

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