Okay ladies and gentlemen, you got a little taste of the Hensley Rating System towards the end of the regular season and now it is time to break out the HRS predictions for the 2008 postseason.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantral Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last couple of seasons, I have done a post-season version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now most first round games will be easy to predict but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

 

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for Class 1A entirely and the HRS predictions:

 

 

 

Beechwood 90.85

Lexington Christian 81.15

Frankfort 75.35

Raceland 75.30

Hazard 63.10

Mayfield 60.55

Holy Cross (Louisville) 58.30

Williamsburg 58.15

Fairview 57.45

Crittenden County 56.10

Campbellsville 55.60

Pikeville 53.25

Bellevue 51.50

Paintsville 44.80

Eminence 44.15

Lynn Camp 42.80

Dayton 42.45

Paris 42.10

Ballard Memorial 41.00

Gallatin County 37.35

Trimble County 35.00

Nicholas County 33.75

Bethlehem 33.05

Caverna 32.70

Kentucky Country Day 32.60

Allen Central 32.55

Pineville 30.85

Ludlow 30.60

Harlan 30.60

Fulton City 29.25

Clinton County 18.05

Beth Haven 14.80

Jenkins 13.90

Fulton County 11.95

Bracken County 9.65

Bishop Brossart 9.20

Betsy Layne 6.75

Phelps 3.95

South Floyd 0.55

 

 

 

Region 1

Kentucky Country Day at Crittenden County – CC by 29.5

Ballard Memorial at Caverna – BM by 2.3

Fulton City at Holy Cross (Louisville) – HC by 35.05

Bethlehem at Mayfield – MHS by 33.5

 

Region 2

Trimble County at Beechwood – BHS by 61.85

Ludlow at Eminence – EHS by 19.55

Dayton at Frankfort – FHS by 38.9

Gallatin County at Bellevue – BHS by 20.15

 

Region 3

Clinton County at Raceland – RHS by 63.25

Fairview at Campbellsville – C’ville by 4.15

Paris at Williamsburg – W’burg by 22.05

Lynn Camp at Lexington Christian – LCA by 44.35

 

Region 4

Betsy Layne at Hazard – HHS by 62.35

Pineville at Paintsville – Paintsville by 19.95

Jenkins at Pikeville – P’ville by 45.35

Allen Central at Harlan – HHS by 4.05

ttt

Very good ratings and system statman. :thumb:. I always look foward to your ratings.