Strong Storms Possible to End the Week

Here is my initial prediction for Friday, November 7, 2025. Let’s look at the setup. 

We’ll see warmer than average temperatures for November. At 1:00 PM EST, temperatures in Kentucky's eastern regions will be in the mid- to upper 60s, while those in the western region will be in the low 70s. This is displayed in the Climate Prediction Center's 6–10-day forecast. They are also showing an above-normal precipitation chance. 

On Friday, the upper Ohio Valley will experience an upper-air trough with westerly winds of about 60 mph. Moist air with dewpoints in the 60s will be moved by the low-level jet with southeasterly winds of about 40 mph. In western Kentucky, these circumstances will result in CAPE values of about 1,100 J/kg. For a thunderstorm to potentially develop into a strong to severe storm, the surrounding conditions must have a CAPE value of at least 1,000 J/kg.  

I'll be keeping a close eye on this and posting updates.

Upper-air trough

Low level Jet

CAPE (convective available potential energy)