Waves of storms will develop along a stalled front today, Saturday, and Sunday. The threats appear to be gusty to damaging winds, hail, ponding water to minor flooding. Most of Kentucky is under a level 2 slight risk area. The Cincinnati/NKY area is under a level 1 marginal risk area.

The following chart shows the timing for the area covered by the NWS-Louisville office. Because of the chance for severe weather, this severe weather alert will be in effect until Sunday.

 

 

 

 

 

 

For Saturday:

 

 

For Sunday:

 

  Mesoscale Discussion 1144
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0947 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

   Areas affected...Western/central Kentucky and far southern Indiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 061447Z - 061645Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few multicell storms with a marginal hail/wind threat
   will be possible through early afternoon.  A watch is unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster of storms is spreading
   eastward across western KY and far southern IN, in association with
   a diffuse midlevel perturbation moving along and south of a stalled
   front.  Destabilization is ongoing south of the front as
   temperatures warm into the lower 80s, which will boost MLCAPE into
   the 1500-2500 J/kg range over the next few hours.  Though there is
   modest enhancement to flow above 5 km AGL, flow below is relatively
   weak and storms are expected to remain primarily multicellular. 
   Thermodynamic profiles could support isolated hail near 1 inch
   diameter and isolated wind damage with downbursts, but the overall
   severe threat appears too marginal to warrant a severe thunderstorm
   watch through midday-early afternoon.