Possible Storms on Thursday

[nWo]

This will only be a quick overview. There seems to be a possibility of thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon and into the evening, with some of them perhaps intense to severe. Since nothing is certain this far off, I just wanted to let you know in case something does come to pass. Late on Thursday morning, Kentucky should see a few isolated showers or storms move in from the northwest. In the afternoon, they might get stronger. For a sizable portion of Kentucky, mostly west of I-75, dewpoints might reach the mid-60s. The temperature might be in the low to mid-seventies. The EHI indicates that, prior to the system that may produce the storms, circumstances may be conducive to the creation of strong to severe storms.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

A level 1 Marginal Risk Area has been declared by the Storm Prediction Center for portions of western Kentucky for Thursday.

 

 

 

[nWo]

On Thursday, there may be some strong to severe storms over parts of western Kentucky.There is a chance that the activity that was first over the Mid MS Valley will interact with the warm front moving northward across the area, moving from high to surface-based—or at least near-surface-based—as it goes eastward. Forecast confidence is limited by uncertainties about the front's position and the way convection moves out of the Mid-MS Valley. Nevertheless, upcoming data will be carefully examined, and upgrades might be taken into account in upcoming outlooks.

 

 

[nWo]

For some areas of western Kentucky, the serious threat has intensified. There is a chance that the activity, which was first over the Mid Mississippi Valley, will eventually move from elevated to surface-based—or at least near-surface-based—as it interacts with the warm front moving northward across the area. There may be a chance of an isolated tornado as well as updraft organization under certain circumstances. Stronger storms or thunderstorm clusters may also produce huge hail and damaging gusts.