Strong to Severe Storms possible Sunday 6/11/23

Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing early Sunday morning, in the vicinity of the surface low. The general expectation is for storm intensity and coverage to gradually increase throughout the afternoon as a trough approaches, encouraging the surface low northeastward and its attendant front southeastward. Moderate air mass destabilization is anticipated ahead of the front from central Arkansas into eastern/middle Tennessee. Shear will be modest, but sufficient for a few more organized multicell clusters. Lapse rates will contribute to the risk of damaging gusts, with a few updrafts likely strong enough to produce hail as well. Less destabilization is expected farther north across the OH Valley, but conditions could still contribute to gusty winds with more robust storms.