December 6, 20223 yr Boundary-layer dewpoints into the mid 60s are present south of a warm front that extends from central AR to southern TN. The warm front should make some northward progress into western KY by this evening ahead of a weak wave over the Ozarks. Occasional breaks in the clouds should help boost conditions to be ripe for possible strong to severe storms. While it is plausible that severe storms may ultimately fail to materialize, there appears to be enough of a signal to warrant a low probability for a brief tornado and locally damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a level 1 Marginal Risk Area for portions of western Kentucky.
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