March 30, 20224 yr A mesoscale discussion has been issued for portions of western Kentucky. Cloud cover and earlier precipitation has limited heating across parts of the mid-Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys. However, increasing cloud clearing in northeastern Arkansas and western Tennessee should allow for modest increase in surface heating this afternoon. Furthermore, an increasing low-level jet has been noted across Louisiana/Mississippi.. This had led to an increase in storm intensity/lightning from southern Louisiana into central Arkansas. These trends are expected to continue farther northward this afternoon. As this occurs, the potential for damaging winds and tornadoes will increase from southeastern Missouri into far southern Illinois and western Kentucky. The primary concern will be strong/severe wind gusts given the low-level wind magnitude. Sufficient low-level veering will promote some threat for embedded circulations/tornadoes within the line of storms. A watch is likely this afternoon for these areas. There is a 80% chance of the watch being issued.
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.