(New Event) Marginal Risk for Severe Storms 2/28/21

[nWo]

 

Temperatures ahead of the cold front are expected to increase into the low 70s with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s from the southern Plains as far northeast as southwest Kentucky by mid afternoon. Conditions could become favorable for a line of storms to form. This line of storms will likely pose a threat for damaging winds. A tornado or two could potentially be embedded in the line of storms. By late evening, instability is expected to weaken substantially which will likely support the line weakening by the early overnight hours.

 

This is the HRRR simulated radar showing the line of storms from 10 am EST to 11 pm EST today.

 

Check back for updates

[nWo]

Update:

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0643 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

   Valid 281300Z - 011200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST
   TEXAS TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND SOUTHERN KENTUCKY...

   ...SUMMARY...

   Damaging thunderstorm gusts, a few tornadoes and isolated large hail
   are possible from northeast Texas to Middle Tennessee and southern
   Kentucky.

Conditions that could be conducive for the formation of strong to severe storms will exist later today. These conditions will yield the potential for tornadoes and damaging to severe wind gusts. Hail will be more of a concern early during the storm period. The severe potential may continue through much of the evening before weakening later tonight.