Slight Risk (Category 2) for storms early Friday Morning (update)

[nWo]

There is a Marginal Risk for strong to severe storms early Friday morning for portions of the Cincinnati/NKY and eastern Kentucky areas. These possible storms look to be scattered in nature. The possible threats are heavy rain and damaging winds.

 

 

The estimated timing shows the possible storms entering the Cincinnati/NKY area around 4 am EDT. Movement looks to be southeastward into eastern Kentucky.

 

[nWo]

 

The Cincinnati/NKY area is now in a category 2 Slight Risk Area for strong to severe storms. I will update later.

[nWo]

The chance for scattered strong to severe storms has increased some for those in the Cincinnati/NKY area. The timing looks to be around the 4-5 am EDT for them to reach that area. There could be more areas that see some showers and storms. The main threats look to be heavy rain, possibly damaging winds, and hail. Everyone should have a way to receive a notification if severe weather develops in your area.

 

[nWo]

 

 

Areas affected...southwest Ohio into eastern Kentucky and West

Virginia

 

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

 

Valid 170556Z - 170830Z

 

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

 

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will likely persist tonight as it

moves out of Ohio and into eastern Kentucky and West Virginia.

Marginal hail or locally gusty winds are expected

 

DISCUSSION...As of 06Z, a cluster of storms exists over northern IN. These storms have been expanding in coverage overall, with sporadic small hail cores. Given the orientation of winds aloft, this cluster is likely to turn southeast as it continues into KY and WV. The western fringe of this activity in closer proximity to the stronger instability may be capable of occasional marginal hail.