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First Round Thoughts

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There is one more game to be played in the first round. This tally is after 92 games. (Counted twice and think 92 is correct.)

Winning Team's point total averaged 47.45 throughout the State.

Margin of victory=34.10

82 games were decided by 3 scores or more (17 points+). Ten, then were less than 3 scores. That's 89% of the games were decided by 17 or more points.

The visiting team lost 76 of games and won 16 of the games=83%.

I admit to not knowing strength of schedule and couldn't take it into account so out of the 16 games where the visitors won; I looked at wins & losses to determine if the 'favorite' won (better record), if it was an upset (teams with worse record won) or a tossup (same record going into the game). Out of the 16 games where the travelling team won 9x the Favorite won(Frankfort, Somerset, Collins, Greenup, Bullitt Central, PRP, Manual, Cooper, Tates Creek). 5x the Underdog won (Fairview, Washington Co. Allen County-Scottsville, Eastern, Campbell Co). There were two tossups per record. (Bell & Breathitt both 4-7 going in. Lloyd & Gallatin both 6-5. Lloyd was the Favorite in that one so 10x out of 16x the visitor won; the Favorite won=63%.)

It looks like NKY is the real deal in 6A. The only loss being a close game between Boone County and Tate Creek.

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