Okay ladies and gentlemen, you got a little taste of the Hensley Rating System towards the end of the regular season and now it is time to break out the HRS predictions for the 2008 postseason.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantral Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last couple of seasons, I have done a post-season version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now most first round games will be easy to predict but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for Class 2A entirely and the HRS predictions:

 

 

 

Newport Central Catholic 91.10

Fort Campbell 91.05

Green County 84.35

Corbin 79.85

Owensboro Catholic 77.35

Danville 75.40

Monroe County 74.15

DeSales 72.35

Middlesboro 70.50

Trigg County 68.35

Bardstown 67.90

Prestonsburg 67.60

Caldwell County 66.15

Holy Cross (Covington) 65.60

Washington County 63.15

Lloyd Memorial 61.90

Murray 57.85

Newport 55.75

Shelby Valley 51.90

Christian Academy-Louisville 50.65

Bath County 46.65

Glasgow 46.45

Hancock County 44.60

Metcalfe County 41.65

Carroll County 35.60

Heath 34.75

Todd County Central 28.75

Knott County Central 27.25

Fort Knox 23.70

Leslie County 22.95

Owen County 22.05

Reidland 14.90

Morgan County 10.65

 

 

 

 

Region 1

Todd County Central at Trigg County – Trigg by 45.6

Caldwell County at Owensboro Catholic – OC by 17.2

Heath at Fort Campbell – FC by 62.3

Hancock County at Murray – Murray by 19.25

 

Region 2

Fort Knox at Monroe County – MC by 56.45

Metcalfe County at Bardstown – B’town by 32.25

Glasgow at Danville – DHS by 34.95

Washington County at Green County – Green by 27.2

 

Region 3

Newport at DeSales – DHS by 22.6

Carroll County at Cov. Holy Cross – HC by 36

Owen County at Newport Central Catholic – NewCath by 75.05

Lloyd Memorial at Christian Acadmy-Louisville – Lloyd by 5.25

 

Region 4

Knott County Central at Prestonsburg – P’burg by 46.35

Shelby Valley at Middlesboro – M’boro by 24.6

Morgan County at Corbin – Corbin by 75.2

Leslie County at Bath County – Bath by 29.7

ttt