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North Oldham vs. Waggener Predictions/Updates

Who wins? North or Waggener?  

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  1. 1. Who wins Friday? North Oldham or Waggener?

    • North Oldham Mustangs
    • Waggener Wildcats

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  • Poll closed on 09/23/2022 at 10:30 PM

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Who:  North Oldham Mustangs (2-3) vs. Waggener Wildcats (1-4)

When:  Friday, 9/23/22   Kickoff 7:30 pm

Where:  North Oldham HS, Goshen, KY

Broadcast:   Free, live, hi-def video coverage begins at 7 pm ET on www.pegasussportsky.com   Mike Montgomery, Andy Kerrick, and Kevin Combs with the call

North Oldham and Waggener collide in Goshen in the district opener for both teams.   In a difficult district that features two Top 10 Class 4A teams (Central and Fran klin County), three teams (Shelby, North, Waggener) have been battling for the two remaining spots.   Whether you're the Mustangs or the Wildcats, you need this district win, which would LIKELY ensure a playoff berth.   Lose this one and suddenly the Shelby County game probably becomes a "must win" game and the pressure ratchets up.

NORTH has fielded a tremendous defense this year that has held 3 of their 5 opponents to 12 points or less - including Class 5A #10 Great Crossing (a 12-0 loss).   The Mustangs' D has scored 5 touchdowns this year already, in just five games.    Last week, three different players got "pick-sixes" against Western.    Mack Pyle (14 total tackles) and Ben Mortenson (10 total tackles) had awesome games as well.

The North offense has struggled, scoring only 37 points in their first four games, but the Mustangs got it going last week on the road against Western, putting 49 points on the scoreboard (with 3 of the TDs coming from the defense, however!).  QB Jace Bullock had his most productive game passing, with 201 yards, 4 TDs, and 0 picks, and Liam Hutson caught 3 of those passes for 121 yards a score.

For the season, North has shown a top-10 caliber defense, but they come into the game with a 2-3 record because the offense has struggled to move the ball at times, particularly on the ground, where NOHS averages just 33.6 yards per game.

The defense, however, has kept them in games against better opponents; North lost just 10-7 to 4-1 Holy Cross, and 12-0 to 5A #10 Great Crossing.

Waggener has dropped two games by big margins since edging Moore, 28-26, on 9/2 for their only win.   Undefeated Seneca took the measure of the Wildcats, 34-6, and 6A Eastern whipped Waggener, 44-0, last week.

The opposite of North, Waggener is running the ball well, averaging 201 yards / game on the ground, led by Jacobi Jones, who averages 143 rushing yards per contest (76 carries - 572 yards - 5 scores).   But Waggener does little through the air, where Josh Steineker has thrown the ball just 24 times in 5 games, connecting on only 8 passes for 144 yards and 3 TDs.   Waggener averages less than 29 yards / game passing.

The Waggener defense has given up over 26 points in 4 of their 5 games.   They held Valley to just 14 points, but even that was more than Valley averages as the Vikings average just 8.8 ppg.

North Oldham leads the all-time series, 5-4, and the Mustangs beat the Wildcats, 17-0, last year in Louisville.




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The Wildcats have a top 6 running back in 4A with Jones but I am not sure that upfront they can control Vance and Grady from North.  North is also with the number 1 DB in 4A in INTs so watch for him to shut down the passing game.  I think North walks away from this one big, 35-8.

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  • theguru changed the title to North Oldham vs. Waggener Predictions/Updates

If North forces Waggener to pass, the Mustangs win.   Waggener has been held to 0 yards passing twice, and has never thrown for over 100 yards.    And that Mustang defensive backfield is incredible; North has five defensive TDs already.

On the other hand, North has to find a way to duplicate last week through the air.   North threw for 4 TDs last week - they only had one offensive touchdown prior to last week's rout of Western 49-26.   The Mustangs could use a breakout game on the ground, where they have been held under 50 yards in four of five games.

Big district matchup; four of five teams make the playoffs, and with top 10 Central and Franklin County in the district, the loser might face a must-win against Shelby County (3-2) to make the playoffs.

Pregame coverage begins at 7 pm on www.pegasussportsky.com

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