Winter Weather Threat Mode

  1. #1
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Winter Weather Threat Mode

    The possibility is growing for a possible round of accumulating snow Sunday night. There is still some uncertainty about the storm strength and track, but southern and potentially central KY are most at risk. The latest data is trending towards a stronger storm that would be capable of snow. Keep checking back for updates about this possible situation.

    Here is the latest NAM simulated Radar for Sunday evening into Monday morning.

    Name:  snow.gif
Views: 233
Size:  460.1 KB
    Advertisement

  2. #2
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    I just received word from the NWS-Louisville office that a Winter Weather Advisory may be issued later tonight or early Sunday morning.

  3. #3
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    If the modeling trend continues in the morning I will be going into Winter Weather Threat mode.

  4. #4
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Update 3/11/18

    I'm going into a Winter Weather Threat Mode due to some in Kentucky could receive some significant snowfall accumulations tonight into Monday morning. The very latest NAM model information just released during the past hour is showing parts of western, southern and eastern Kentucky getting hammered with snow. Western Kentucky is looking at anywhere from 7-13 inches of snow. Far western Kentucky could receive from 1-5 inches. Southern to southeastern Kentucky is looking at 5-10 inches. The range is so wide because I'm trying to cover most of the areas mentioned. There looks to be a short cutoff of the snow accumulations on the north side of the storm track.

    Here are some forecast accumulation totals for some cities.

    Paducah 7-9"
    Hopkinsville 7-9"
    Owensboro 3-6"
    Bowling Green 2-4"
    Elizabethtown 2-4"
    Somerset 2-5"
    Jackson 4-6"
    Pikeville 5-7"

    There are some areas that could receive anywhere from 10-13" in western Kentucky. This area is centered between Hopkinsville and Owensboro. Also, there is another area in southeastern Kentucky could get from 6-10". This area is centered between Somerset, Jackson, and Pikeville.

    The following map shows the possible snowfall accumulations.

    Name:  snku_024h.us_ov.png
Views: 174
Size:  385.5 KB

    The NAM simulated radar is from 5 pm to 8 am EDT

    Name:  nam.refcmp_ptype.us_ov.2018031100-loop (1).gif
Views: 174
Size:  465.5 KB

    Depending on the track of this storm the totals could change. Updates later today.

  5. #5
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Quick update

    The mid-morning NAM run has the storm tracking a little further north than earlier. It also is showing some strengthing. It really depends on how fast the change over from rain to snow will happen as to how much snow some will see. I'll update later today.

  6. #6
    sweet16's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 02
    Location
    The real WKY
    Posts
    20,742

    Wow on the amounts.

    You still seeing that @nWo

  7. #7
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Winter storm warning just issued. I'll post the new info as soon as I get home.

  8. #8
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Quote Originally Posted by sweet16 View Post
    Wow on the amounts.

    You still seeing that @nWo
    I'll be posting the new info in a few minutes. Looks like the totals maybe going up for some.

  9. #9
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Here are some updated totals for tonight's storm. The storm looks to be taking a more northerly track. Also, there looks to be a shortcut off for the accumulating snow both on the northern and southern sides of this storm.

    Paducah 1-3"
    Owensboro 5-7"
    Hopkinsville dusting to 1"
    Bowling Green 1-2"
    Louisville 1-2"
    Elizabethtown 6-8"
    Lexington 6-5"
    Richmond 8-11"
    Somerset dusting to 1"
    Jackson 4-6"
    Pikeville 3-5"

    Name:  snku_024h.us_ov.png
Views: 148
Size:  392.6 KB

  10. #10
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    This is the simulated radar for the timing of the storm. It is from 5 pm to 8 am EDT on Monday.



    Name:  nam.refcmp_ptype.us_ov.2018031112-loop (1).gif
Views: 146
Size:  434.4 KB

  11. #11
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    My phone has been going crazy since I got home from church about this storm.

  12. #12
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Must be going to be bad tonight. Mrs nWo is sending me to the store to get milk.

  13. #13
    ThrillVille Cardinal51's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 10
    Location
    Louisville,KY----From NKY
    Posts
    6,024

    Will it be cold enough to stick on roadways in louisville?

  14. #14
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Quote Originally Posted by ThrillVille Cardinal51 View Post
    Will it be cold enough to stick on roadways in louisville?
    I believe it will.

  15. #15
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,877

    Report of very heavy snow around Elizabethtown.

Top