Tropical Storm Warning for parts of Florida

  1. #1
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    40,134

    Tropical Storm Warning for parts of Florida

    Since one of our members @swamprat may be affected by this storm I'm starting this new thread. The tropical storm watch has been upgraded to a tropical storm warning for parts of Florida and Alabama.

    Name:  210148_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
Views: 91
Size:  102.4 KB

    National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL AL012018
    532 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018


    This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida


    **TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
    OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST**




    NEW INFORMATION
    ---------------


    * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
    Warning for Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal
    Manatee, Coastal Sarasota, and Pinellas
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Coastal Lee


    * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Charlotte,
    Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal Manatee, Coastal
    Sarasota, and Pinellas
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Citrus and Coastal
    Levy


    * STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 330 miles south-southwest of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL or
    about 310 miles southwest of Fort Myers FL
    - 23.3N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 13 mph


    SITUATION OVERVIEW
    ------------------


    Subtropical Storm Alberto is forecast to strengthen while moving
    northward over the Gulf of Mexico and will impact West Central and
    Southwest Florida tonight into Sunday night. The primary concerns at
    this time are storm surge flooding along the Citrus and Levy county
    coasts, heavy rainfall across the area causing localized flooding,
    and tropical storm force winds, mainly close to the coast from
    Tampa Bay south.


    POTENTIAL IMPACTS
    -----------------


    * FLOODING RAIN:
    Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
    limited impacts across West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential
    impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
    Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
    and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
    vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
    occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
    areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
    near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
    closures.


    * SURGE:
    Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
    impacts across Levy County and south to Crystal River. Potential
    impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
    immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
    farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
    with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
    surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
    in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
    and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.


    Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
    impact is anticipated.


    * WIND:
    Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
    West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
    mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
    uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
    shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
    or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
    bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.


    * TORNADOES:
    Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
    across West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
    of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
    and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
    toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
    large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
    knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
    pulled from moorings.


    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
    ----------------------------------


    * EVACUATIONS:
    Listen to local officials for recommended preparedness actions,
    including possible evacuations. If ordered to evacuate, do so
    immediately.


    For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
    falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to
    move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate,
    help keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.


    If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra
    time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your
    vehicle ahead of time. Follow designated evacuation routes. Seek
    traffic information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official
    sources.


    Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure
    loose items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.
    Advertisement

  2. #2
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    40,134

    GFS Track of Alberto. remember the track will probably change some by landfall

    Name:  200-nodither.gif
Views: 97
Size:  466.0 KB

    Rainfall Accumulations

    Name:  64-nodither.gif
Views: 93
Size:  465.8 KB

  3. #3
    swamprat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 01
    Location
    Westchase, FL
    Posts
    30,041

    Thanks @nWo. It's calm here with light rain where I am, right now, though it has been raining hard off and on all day.

    I think @coldweatherfan is down here at the moment. If he is at his villa near St. Pete Beach, he's almost right on the water and he may be getting more of the storm than I am.

    Alberto is also a long way out to sea.

    Governor Rick Scott has declared a state of emergency for Florida, to get everything in motion should the storm turn bad.

  4. #4
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    40,134

    You're welcome. This mornings modeling data has the track a little more towards the east than yesterday. As we know the track can change day by day. Also, the NAM 3km has Alberto near a category one hurricane just before landfall. Watch for strong to severe storms than could produce damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes even if it doesn't make landfall in your part of Florida.

    Name:  085017_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
Views: 70
Size:  99.7 KB

    Name:  085017.png
Views: 69
Size:  65.5 KB

  5. #5
    swamprat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 01
    Location
    Westchase, FL
    Posts
    30,041

    The wind is worse here now than it was at anytime, yesterday. It's pretty windy at the moment, but nothing terrible. My little anemometer is reading gusts around 25 mph. About the same as a daily shower, but no rain this evening.

    Yesterday, we had some heavy rain before noon, but nothing harder than a usual afternoon storm. Hardly any wind. Actually the afternoon storms have been worse than that was. Around 3, the sun came out an we had an excellent evening.

    While I like the fact that everyone was ready, for something bad, I worry that getting this hyped up over, basically, a tropical depression will make people become complacent and ignore warnings when a bad hurricane does happen. I've seen it happen before. Here is hoping Harvey and Irma is still fresh in everybody's mind, though Irma dying as fast as she did, may result in the same effect.

    Thanks for all the updates, nWo. I appreciate your attention.

Top