Hurricane Florence

Page 2 of Tropical Storm Florence is expected to strengthen over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Little change in intensi... 35 comments | 2881 Views | Go to page 1 →

  1. #16
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    Monday evening update

    500 PM AST Mon Sep 10 2018


    ...FLORENCE GROWING IN SIZE AND STRENGTH...
    ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED TUESDAY
    MORNING..

    Key messages for Hurricane Florence

    1. A life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the coastlines of South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia, and a Storm Surge Watch will likely be issued for some of these areas by Tuesday morning. All interests from South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice given by local officials.

    2. Life=threatening freshwater flooding is likely from a prolonged and exceptionally heavy rainfall event, which may extend inland over the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic for hundreds of miles as Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.

    3. Damaging hurricane force winds are likely along portions of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Hurricane Watch will likely be issued by Tuesday morning. Damaging winds could also spread well inland into portions of the Carolinas and Virginia.

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  2. #17
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    Father in law had a trip to the outer banks scheduled this week, luckily he decided to stay home.

    Looking to make landfall as a Cat 5 possibly...prayers for everyone living through this.

  3. #18
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    Making comparisons to Hazel...that's not good. Saw where the weather service is predicting 3-4 FEET of rain possible in parts of the Appalachias. That's, like, unimaginable.

  4. #19
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    How much rainfall is Kentucky likely to get from this storm?

  5. #20
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    No real change in the strength of Florence as of 11 pm ET last night.

    I just wanted to post an outlook on how Florence will affect Kentucky. Remnants of Florence could reach portions of the eastern part of Kentucky early next week. Rainfall Accumulations could range from 1 to 4 inches with the heaviest amounts in southeastern Kentucky. The following map is through Wednesday afternoon of next week.

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  6. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Professor View Post
    How much rainfall is Kentucky likely to get from this storm?
    Great minds think alike. I was posting about this as you were writing your post.

  7. #22
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    Nearing category 5.

  8. #23
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    11 am ET update:

    At 1100 AM (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 65.3 West. Florence is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with a slight increase in forward speed are expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas through Wednesday, and approach the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the hurricane watch area Thursday and Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph with higher gusts. Florence is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
    Hurricane Wind Scale. Florence is expected to begin re-strengthening later today and continue a slow strengthening trend
    for the next day or so. While some weakening is expected on Thursday, Florence is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane through landfall.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).




    Key Messages:

    1. A life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the
    coastlines of South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia, and a
    Storm Surge Watch is in effect for a portion of this area. All
    interests from South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic region should
    ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice
    given by local officials.

    2. Life-threatening, catastrophic flash flooding and significant river flooding is possible over portions of the Carolinas and
    Mid-Atlantic states from late this week into early next week, as Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.

    3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are likely along portions of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for a part of this area. Damaging winds could also spread well inland into portions of the Carolinas and Virginia.

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  9. #24

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    We are driving on I 77 in Virginia on our way to Charlotte. There is slight drizzles, but the rivers are full. We will leave Charlotte early Thursday morning and head to Nashville area ahead of most of the storm , hopefully.. I 26 in SC is all one way out of coastal areas. We plan on having a lot of traffic on the roads. Oh, what we do for our kids!!

  10. #25
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    Parts of North Carolina and Virginia are now in a category 1 Marginal Risk Area for strong to severe storms on Thursday.

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  11. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaysie View Post
    We are driving on I 77 in Virginia on our way to Charlotte. There is slight drizzles, but the rivers are full. We will leave Charlotte early Thursday morning and head to Nashville area ahead of most of the storm , hopefully.. I 26 in SC is all one way out of coastal areas. We plan on having a lot of traffic on the roads. Oh, what we do for our kids!!
    Keep an eye on the weather scattered strong to severe storms will be possible on Thursday in parts of North Carolina and Virginia.

  12. #27
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  13. #28
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  14. #29
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    Wednesday morning update

    At Tuesday 1100 PM ET, the eye of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 68.7 West. Florence is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph. A motion toward the west-northwest and northwest is expected through early Thursday. Florence is expected to slow down considerably by late Thursday into Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas through Wednesday and approach the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the hurricane warning area on Thursday and Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph with higher gusts. Florence is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Strengthening is forecast through Wednesday.
    While some weakening is expected on Thursday, Florence is forecast to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane through landfall.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

  15. #30
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    Wednesday evening update

    This is the very latest data just released from the National Hurricane Center:

    At 500 PM EDT, the center of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 72.5 West. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph, and this general motion, accompanied by a gradual decrease in forward speed, is expected to continue through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas tonight, and approach the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the hurricane warning area on Thursday and Friday, and move slowly near the coastline through Saturday.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph with higher gusts. Florence is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in strength will be possible through Thursday morning. Although slow weakening is expected to begin by late Thursday, Florence is forecast to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it nears the U.S. coast late Thursday and Friday.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds now extend outward up to 195 miles.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb (28.03 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC, including the Neuse, Pamlico,
    Pungo, and Bay Rivers...9-13 ft
    North Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Fear NC...6-9 ft
    Cape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC...6-9 ft
    South Santee River SC to North Myrtle Beach SC...4-6 ft
    Ocracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC...4-6 ft
    Salvo NC to North Carolina/Virginia Border...2-4 ft
    Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC...2-4 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

    RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive
    rainfall in the following areas...

    Coastal North Carolina...20 to 30 inches, isolated 40 inches. This rainfall would produce catastrophic flash flooding and significant river flooding.

    South Carolina, western and northern North Carolina...5 to 10 inches, isolated 20 inches.
    Elsewhere in the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states...3 to 6 inches, isolated 12 inches.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the hurricane warning area late Thursday or Friday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Thursday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to ompletion.

    TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern North Carolina beginning late Thursday morning.

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    Key Messages:

    1. A life-threatening storm surge is now highly likely along
    portions of the coastlines of South Carolina and North Carolina, and
    a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for a portion of this area. All
    interests in these areas should complete preparations and follow any
    advice given by local officials.

    2. Life-threatening, catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged
    significant river flooding are likely over portions of the Carolinas
    and the southern and central Appalachians late this week into early
    next week, as Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the
    coast and moves inland.

    3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are likely along portions of the
    coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Hurricane Warning
    is in effect. Strong winds could also spread inland into portions
    of the Carolinas.

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