article Class 6A Notebook (11/18): Regional Championships

6A Notebook: Regional Championships

 

After two rounds of District play, we are down to 8 teams with the four winners of this round being regional champions. Four of the top 5 teams remain with #1 Male, #2 Trinity, #4 North Hardin, and #5 St. Xavier. No surprise that Male and Trinity are still alive as they have dominated this decade with winning multiple championships. North Hardin looks to be the best chance for an outside of Jefferson County team to win a championship. Oldham County in their first year of 6A makes it to the regional round. #9 Simon Kenton has played well of late which now is the time to be at your best. McCracken County and Tates Creek have played well and are capable of making it to the final four.

 

 

 

Districts 1-4 winners

 

#4 St. Xavier (8-4) at #1 Male (12-0)

 

Previous Meeting

 

Male 51 St. Xavier 14

 

St. Xavier travels to Male after defeating Manual 28-9. Male is hosting after defeating Fern Creek 27-8. Male is #2 in 6A in scoring average at 40.9 ppg, and #3 in defensive scoring yielding 10.8 ppg. St. Xavier is #15 in scoring average at 28.1 ppg, and #5 in defensive scoring yielding 17.1 ppg. Calpreps.com computer ratings have Male at a rating of 53.6, and St. Xavier a rating of 37.8. Teams that have a larger than 8 point rating over an opponent has historically won 82% of the time. Key offensive players for Male are QB Elijah Parish ( 2001 yds, 21 tds, 3 ints), RB Jaylin Bross ( 1045 yds, 21 tds), WR Izayah Cummings ( 962 yds, 11 tds, WR Briceson Rogers (579 yds, 4 tds), and WR Vincel Anthony (319 yds, 6 tds). Key defensive players for Male are LB Joe Kuerzi (67 tkls), DE/DT Elijah Manning (55 tkls), and DT Selah Brown (36 tkls, 12 tfl). St. Xavier key offensive players are QB Doug Bodhaine (1897 yds, 15 tds, 8 ints), RB Logan Davis (923 yds, 14 tds), WR Michael Duddy (646 yds, 5 tds), and WR Mekhi Smith (618 yds, 4 tds). Key defensive players are LB Hale Bohler (83 tkls, 8 tfl), LB John Reed (81 tkls, 7 tfl) LB Kenneth Shaffner (68 tkls), and LB Kurtis Cotten (66 tkls, 6 tfl). St. Xavier is playing better of late and this should be a more competitive game than the first meeting, but Male’s passing offense against St. Xavier’s secondary will be the difference.

 

Prediction

 

Male 28 St. Xavier 14

 

 

 

#3 McCracken County (9-3) at #2 North Hardin (12-0)

 

No previous meeting

 

McCracken County travels to North Hardin after defeating Henderson County 17-6. North Hardin is hosting after defeating Central Hardin 31-7. McCracken County leads 6A in scoring at 42.2 ppg, and #16 in defensive scoring yielding 27 ppg. North Hardin is #5 in scoring at 34.5 ppg, and #1 in defensive scoring at a stingy 7.9 ppg. Calpreps.com computer ratings have North Hardin at 37.9 and McCracken County at 23.8 with the rating margin more than 8 North Hardin is in the historical 82% chance of winning. Key offensive players for North Hardin are QB Manie Wimberly (2212 yds, 21 tds, 7 ints), RB Lavell Wright (1387 yds, 19 tds), WR Josh Moore (807, yds, 9 tds), and WR Marcus Harris (589 yds, 7 tds). Key defensive players are LB Darren Green (69 tkls, 16 tfl), LB Michael Lunz (64 tkls, 14 tfl), DE Jerrell Campbell (53 tkls, 17 tfl, and DL Octavious Oxendine (52 tkls, 12 tfl). McCracken County’s key offensive players are QB Elijah Wheat (2438 yds, 33 tds, 6 ints), WR Franklin Hayes (1501 yds, 26 tds), and RB Jeremiah Hughes (482 yds, 6 tds). McCracken County’s key defensive players are DB Kolton Reeves (89 tkls), LB Isaiah Keys (75 tkls), and DL LeAndre Bolen (60 tkls). North Hardin’s defense is significantly better than McCracken County’s defense, so North Hardin should win this one.

 

Prediction

 

North Hardin 35 McCracken County 17

 

 

 

Districts 5-8 winners

 

 

#4 Oldham County (8-4) at #1 Trinity (10-2)

 

No previous meeting

 

Oldham County travels to Trinity after defeating George Rogers Clark 35-21. Trinity is hosting after defeating Ballard 42-12. Trinity is #3 in 6A in scoring at 38.4 ppg and #2 in scoring defense yielding 10.4 ppg. Oldham County is #9 in scoring at 30.2 ppg and #14 in scoring defense yielding 24.7 ppg. Trinity has a Calpreps.com computer rating of 53.5 and Oldham County has a rating of 14.3. Trinity has significantly better rating and has a more than 82% chance of winning according to historical results. Trinity’s key offensive players are QB Nathan McElroy (2155 yds, 25 tds, 9 ints), RB Armon Tucker (951 yds, 17 tds), WR Ryan Miller (855 yds, 6 tds), and TE Kaelan Racculia (484 yds, 9 tds). Key defensive players for Trinity are DE Tyler Roberson, LB Charlie Ely, LB Brandon Stearman, and CB Roman White. Key Oldham County offensive players are QB Sam Young (1752 yds, 24 tds, 4 ints), RB Juan Tapia (968 yds, 8 tds), WR Tyler Holvey (647 yds, 10 tds), and WR Parker Caudill (510 yds, 9 tds). Key defensive players for Oldham County are LB Bryce Rochet (68 tkls, 8 tfl), DL Blake Young (45 tkls, 6 tfl), DL Koby Thomas (34 tkls, 8 tfl). Trinity ranks near the top of scoring statistical categories against the toughest schedule in the state and will be too much for Oldham County.

 

 

Prediction

 

Trinity 42 Oldham County 7

 

 

#3 Simon Kenton (8-4) at #2 Tates Creek (8-4)

No previous meeting

 

Simon Kenton travels to Tates Creek after defeating Dixie Heights 41-17. Tates Creek hosts Simon Kenton after defeating Paul Dunbar 37-29. Tates Creek is #6 in 6A in scoring at 33.2 ppg, and #15 in scoring defense yielding 26.2 ppg. Simon Kenton is #12 in scoring at 28.8 ppg, and #13 in scoring defense yielding 24.3 ppg. Simon Kenton has a Calpreps.com computer rating of 22.5, and Tates Creek has a rating of 17.8. Key offensive players for Tates Creek are QB Luke Duby (3665 yds, 37 tds, 10 ints), RB Marcus Bosley (360 yds, 7 tds), WR Miles Thomas (1483 yds, 20 tds), and WR Elliot Bryant (609 yds, 6 tds). Key defensive players for Tates creek are DL Isaiah McFarland (64 tkls, 22 tfl), LB Marcus Bosley (64 tkls, 13.5 tfl, and JT Acosta (53 tkls, 9.5 tfl). Key offensive players for Simon Kenton are QB Chase Crone (1740 yds, 14 tds, 12 ints), RB Austin Hammack (1188 yds, 16 tds), WR Evan Mulberry (503 yds, 4 tds), and WR Erik Brown (323 yds, 1 td). Key defensive players for Simon Kenton are DB Zach Koenes (95 tkls, 5.5 tfl), DL Vuk Sajlovic (88 tkls, 7 tfl), LB Nate Walker (84 tkls, 10.5 tfl), and DB Issac Bleier (60 tkls, 41 solo). This looks to be the most competitive of the 3rd round. I think this is a tossup game but will give Simon Kenton the slight edge due to a tougher schedule and better defense.

 

Prediction

 

Simon Kenton 42 Tates Creek 35

 

 

 

Semifinals projection

 

 

#4 Simon Kenton at #1 Male

 

#3 Trinity at #2 North Hardin

Edited November 18, 2019 by Tigerpride94

Duby, the Tates Creek quarterback and Cornell commit, should have a good day.

Duby, the Tates Creek quarterback and Cornell commit, should have a good day.

 

I agree. He’s a great player.

I hope Trinity has a better game. They did not look too sharp against Ballard. Of course, that was a crazy game with all the penalties and coaches' antics.

Trinity did win 42-12. Trinity made a couple adjustments at half that opened up the run game. Ballard had a nice game plan to stop the T run in first half. But in the second half Trinity’s O line and D line took over the game.

Bump.