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Fourth Region Top 10

 

1) Monroe County (24-3) - 2/3 83-48 W Glasgow, 2/6 73-60 W at #10 Allen County-Scottsville

Previous Rank: 1

This Week: 2/13 vs. #4 Clinton County

 

2) Bowling Green (21-4) - 2/3 61-58 W #9 South Warren, 2/7 67-45 W Greenwood

Previous Rank: 2

This Week: 2/9 at #7 Logan County, 2/10 vs. Owensboro, 2/13 at Warren East

 

3) Warren Central (17-7) - 2/3 68-50 W Christian County, 2/6 83-62 W at Warren East

Previous Rank: 3

This Week: 2/10 vs. #8 Russellville, 2/13 at Greenwood, 2/14 vs. Elizabethtown

 

4) Clinton County (17-8) - 2/3 52-55 L Caverna, 2/6 84-53 W Glasgow

Previous Rank: 4

This Week: 2/9 at Corbin, 2/13 at #1 Monroe County

 

5) Barren County (19-6) - 2/3 64-51 W at Greenwood, 2/6 55-51 W at Hart County

Previous Rank: 5

This Week: 2/10 at #6 Russell County, 2/13 vs. Cumberland County

 

6) Russell County (12-9) - 2/5 77-61 W Casey County, 2/6 78-37 W at Metcalfe County

Previous Rank: 6

This Week: 2/10 vs. #5 Barren County, 2/13 at Adair County

 

7) Logan County (16-6) - 2/2 74-62 W Trigg County, 2/6 79-63 W #8 Russellville

Previous Rank: 7

This Week: 2/9 vs. #2 Bowling Green, 2/10 at Rossview (TN), 2/12 vs. Hopkinsville

 

8) Russellville (11-10) - 2/3 68-66 W Franklin-Simpson, 2/6 63-79 L at #7 Logan County

Previous Rank: 8

This Week: 2/10 at #3 Warren Central, 2/13 at Todd County Central

 

9) South Warren (11-13) - 2/3 58-61 L at #2 Bowling Green, 2/6 76-67 W Greenwood

Previous Rank: 9

This Week: 2/9 at Todd County Central, 2/10 vs. Warren East, 2/12 at Franklin-Simpson, 2/14 at Ohio County

 

10) Allen County-Scottsville (13-12) - 2/3 68-59 W Hart County, 2/6 60-73 L at #1 Monroe County, 2/7 75-66 W Todd County Central

Previous Rank: 10

This Week: 2/10 vs. Greenwood, 2/12 at Metcalfe County, 2/13 vs. Franklin-Simpson

 

Last Week's Game of the Week - South Warren entered their game against Bowling Green having lost all 10 previous matchups with the Purples. A win would put them in the driver's seat for the #3 seed in the district. To say things did not start well would be an understatement. South Warren trailed by as much as 15 in the second quarter and by 10 at halftime, but a furious rally in the third quarter spilled into the fourth, and with just under 6 minutes left in the game, South Warren had outscored Bowling Green 40-18 in a roughly 17 minute stretch to take a 51-44 advantage. But it was not to be. The Purples scored the next ten points and took a lead they would not relinquish, though the Spartans had several chances to tie or take the lead late. If South Warren's breakthrough is to come this year, it'll have to be in the postseason.

 

District Races - Two districts have no remaining games, two districts have their postseason matchups set while another just has to settle tie at the top. And then there's the 14th....

 

13th District - With Russellville's narrow 68-66 win over Franklin-Simpson, Logan County's double digit thrashing of Russellville, and Franklin-Simpson's season sweep of Todd County Central, the 13th District postseason lineup became set in stone. Logan County completed a perfect 6-0 district run, ensuring that there will not be a third straight season where Russellville and Franklin-Simpson advance to the region tournament, as those teams will meet in the 2/3. Logan County will look to return to the region tourney for the first time since 2012 (itself their only trip since 1998) against a Todd County Central team they swept. The Rebels for their part will hope to overcome the odds and go back to region for the first time since 2003.

 

14th District - The march to the coin flip(s) continued as Warren Central and Bowling Green matched pace and sit at 6-1. They'll each head on the road on Friday in games they'll be favored in, with Central visiting Greenwood and Bowling Green looking to extend their dominance of Warren East. If both win, it'll be a tie at the top for the fifth time in six seasons. South Warren is actually the only team in the district controlling their own destiny in pursuit of a goal. If the Spartans beat Warren East on Tuesday, they clinch the crucial #3 seed as Greenwood could only tie them and South Warren has the season sweep. Should the Spartans falter, it sets up a likely three way tie for third unless the Gators or Raiders pull big upsets in the aforementioned games against Warren Central and Bowling Green. There's a scenario where we know basically nothing after this week except that Warren Central and Bowling Green will be 1-2 in some order and the others at 3-5 in some order. The 14th District = chaos as usual.

 

 

15th District - The district slate is done and the seeds had already been determined as mentioned last week. It was nice and tidy in the 15th district. Monroe County went a perfect 6-0 - a feat they had not accomplished since they were in the 16th District back in 2004. Barren County lost only to Monroe County, Allen County-Scottsville lost only to Monroe & Barren, while Glasgow went winless.

 

16th District - Business as usual in the 16th. Clinton County and Russell County split their season series, sending it to a coin flip to decide the top seed. Metcalfe County is locked into 3rd via their only two wins of the year, those coming over winless Cumberland County.

 

 

Upcoming Games of the Week

 

2/10 - #5 Barren County at #6 Russell County - Just a friendly intra-region game, but the one with the most impact on our ranks this week. Our #1-#3 teams are the only ones to take down the Trojans in the region this year, while Russell County looks to avenge their loss at Barren County in last year's region tournament, the final game coached by Willie Feldhaus.

 

2/13 - #4 Clinton County at #1 Monroe County - These two teams have had some outstanding games this season, meeting once in December and then in the All "A" Region Finals last month. Monroe County won them both, but by a combined 3 points and one of them took an extra session. With all due respect to Greenwood and Warren East, who will play the Falcons next week, this is likely the only thing standing between Monroe County and a perfect regular season run through the region. The Falcons are unbeaten in true home or road games this season, with only a trio of neutral floor losses. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs will be hungry for a win to break through the glass ceiling. If you can make it to only one region game next week, make it this one.

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Dragonfire, how many of these teams are what most would consider legitimate contenders for the region? I'd imagine that Monroe Co, Warren Central, Bowling Green, and then Clinton County are all there. Is there anyone else?

 

It looks as though with the way the districts are set up, someone is going to have to beat both of the 14th teams or someone who beat them. If things go chalk, then either Clinton County or Monroe County will draw Bowling Green/Warren Central in the first round, and have to beat the other or someone whose beaten the 14th's winner in the finals. If Monroe and Clinton both win and draw in the same side, then it's going to mean beating 1, 2, and 3 if you are Clinton Co and get the 14th's loser or 2, 3, and 4 if you are Monroe and get the 14th's loser. Monroe Co/Clinton Co splitting sides of the bracket and each going with one of the 14th's is probably the worst possible outcome for an underdog.

 

Any chance that the district winners/losers don't go chalk or that someone outside of the top 4 makes a run?

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Dragonfire, how many of these teams are what most would consider legitimate contenders for the region? I'd imagine that Monroe Co, Warren Central, Bowling Green, and then Clinton County are all there. Is there anyone else?

 

It looks as though with the way the districts are set up, someone is going to have to beat both of the 14th teams or someone who beat them. If things go chalk, then either Clinton County or Monroe County will draw Bowling Green/Warren Central in the first round, and have to beat the other or someone whose beaten the 14th's winner in the finals. If Monroe and Clinton both win and draw in the same side, then it's going to mean beating 1, 2, and 3 if you are Clinton Co and get the 14th's loser or 2, 3, and 4 if you are Monroe and get the 14th's loser. Monroe Co/Clinton Co splitting sides of the bracket and each going with one of the 14th's is probably the worst possible outcome for an underdog.

 

Any chance that the district winners/losers don't go chalk or that someone outside of the top 4 makes a run?

 

Here's my take on that:

 

Barring a team upsetting Warren Central or Bowling Green in the district tournament, there is no scenario that I can see a team besides those two or Monroe County winning the region. Clinton County is probably the dark horse but as you've pointed out, a lot of pitfalls for them in a region draw. If one of 14th District teams were to lose before region, then I could see Clinton winning it if they draw opposite the 14th champion and Monroe County. Barren County, Russell County, and Logan County are teams I can see winning a single game, but not three.

 

I think Monroe County would possibly prefer to draw the 14th District runner-up in the first round. That way they'll have days to get ready, then also wouldn't have to play a back to back against the 14th District representatives in the semis and finals. If history has taught us one thing, it's that one of the 14th District teams will make it. There hasn't been a final with no 14th District team since 2000, and there've been eight times where both reps have made it. And either Warren Central or Bowling Green have been in every single one of those finals since 2000, and they've combined for every title except one since 2002. Not dark a picture enough? How about that Russellville in 1998 and 2001 is the only team in the last 30 years to beat both 14th District teams on their way to the title.

 

Point being that it'll be tough for anyone outside the 14th District to win it because you're likely going to have to beat both of them. Monroe County is the team I see with a chance to do it. Anyone else will need help.

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