Who Gets In?

  1. #1
    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Who Gets In?

    Couple different scenarios:
    - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn?
    - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin?
    - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin?
    - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State
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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    - Auburn
    - TCU
    - Wisconsin
    - USC

  3. #3
    LIPTON BASH's Avatar
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    Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LIPTON BASH View Post
    Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses.
    I think Wisconsin loses 3 games as well. I don't see them beating Iowa, Michigan, or whoever comes out of the East.

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    Mike Baxter's Avatar
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    My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in.

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    In those scenarios:

    Auburn
    TCU
    Wisconsin
    Michigan State

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Baxter View Post
    My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in.
    In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma.

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    Mike Baxter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GrantNKY View Post
    In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma.
    In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Baxter View Post
    In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season.
    I don't see Georgia getting in over Oklahoma.

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    Jumper_Dad's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GrantNKY View Post
    Couple different scenarios:
    - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn?
    - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin?
    - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin?
    - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State
    538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios.

    Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however.
    Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out.
    USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out.
    Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jumper_Dad View Post
    538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios.

    Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however.
    Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out.
    USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out.
    Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out.
    I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts.

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    Jumper_Dad's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GrantNKY View Post
    I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts.
    Nevermind

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    Jumper_Dad's Avatar
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    FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jumper_Dad View Post
    Nevermind
    I must be a little slow today because I'm confused.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jumper_Dad View Post
    FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game.
    Seems about right to me.

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