2018 National Champion...save this thread

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    MentschTrachtGottLacht's Avatar
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    2018 National Champion...save this thread

    What if I told you that the 2018 National Champion was going to come out of this group:

    * Purdue
    * Michigan State
    * Gonzaga
    * West Virginia
    * Kansas
    * Ohio State
    * Auburn
    * North Carolina

    I'm just going to leave this here, but the last 20 years tell us that one of these 8 schools will end up cutting down the nets in April. Just something to keep an eye on as the season unfolds and the post-season kicks in.
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    So what is the "criteria" indicating that one of these 8 will be cutting down the nets in early April?

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    TheDeuce's Avatar
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    I’ll take the field.

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    MentschTrachtGottLacht's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheDeuce View Post
    I’ll take the field.
    I get that, but know that 95% of Champions in the last 20 years fall into this criteria. Odds aren't with you.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MentschTrachtGottLacht View Post
    I get that, but know that 95% of Champions in the last 20 years fall into this criteria. Odds aren't with you.
    I’m used to it.

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    Only one team currently in the top ten in both offensive and defensive efficiency per the Ken Pom ratings. History says that’s a pretty good guide.

    So say hello to your statistical national champions: the Michigan State Spartans.

    Are the ones listed in the first post those that have both in at least the top 30?

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    Getslow's Avatar
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    I just looked it up, last nights games moved some things around a bit, but the top two teams in the ratings were a fun mirror yesterday afternoon:

    Virginia: Defense 1 Offense 43
    Villanova: Offense 1 Defense 43

    Worth noting: this Virginia defense is a full two points better in the KenPom defensive efficiency ratings than Louisville’s historically great defense in 2013.

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    P_G's Avatar
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    Too much Big 10/12 on that list. Give me the field.

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    Auburn....

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    UKMustangFan's Avatar
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    Put me in the UNC & Duke camp.

    They both seem to be starting to click at just the right time....I see both make deep runs come March.

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    GrantNKY's Avatar
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    I’ll take these 4 teams and you can have the field: Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, Arizona.

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    MentschTrachtGottLacht's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Science Friction View Post
    Auburn....
    You do understand that I'm not making a prediction in that first post, I'm telling you that 19 of the last 20 champs fit a certain criteria, and the teams in post #1 are the only ones that fit the criteria.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MentschTrachtGottLacht View Post
    You do understand that I'm not making a prediction in that first post, I'm telling you that 19 of the last 20 champs fit a certain criteria, and the teams in post #1 are the only ones that fit the criteria.

    I understand what you were saying. Not laughing at you. I'm just laughing at Auburn. They are not good.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MentschTrachtGottLacht View Post
    You do understand that I'm not making a prediction in that first post, I'm telling you that 19 of the last 20 champs fit a certain criteria, and the teams in post #1 are the only ones that fit the criteria.
    What is the criteria?

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    Top 20 in both defense and offensive efficiency?

    I checked, that's not it.

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