Kentucky Derby, Who you got?

Page 3 of Informal contest on who you got in KY's proudest day. Take a horse, but do not repeat any of the prior posts. I'll take semi-longshot . . . Upstart.... 53 comments | 1588 Views | Go to page 1 →

  1. #31
    Wireman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by UKMustangFan View Post
    If you got the money to do it, box the entire field and hope a longshot comes through. You'll make bank.
    It's sooooo expensive to box the entire field. I've been tempted to do this before but just was afraid to drop the cash.
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  2. #32
    MJAlltheWay24's Avatar
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    El Kabeir has scratched. Calvin Borel was the jockey.

    I assume that means that we are going to have a 19 horse field. One alternate was already used to replace Stanford and the 2nd alternate also already scratched.

  3. #33
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    MY PICKS

    W-Dortmund

    PL- Firing Line

    SH- Frosted

  4. #34

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    $1 exacta box of 3 horses = 3 * (3-1) = 6 combinations * $1= $6

    $1 exacta box of 4 horses = 4 * (4-1) = 12 combinations * $1 = $12

    $1 exacta box of 5 horses = 5 * (5-1) = 20 combinations * $1 = $20

    $1 exacta box of 6 horses = 6 * (6-1) = 30 combinations * $1 = $30

    $1 exacta box of 7 horses = 7 * (7-1) = 42 combinations * $1 = $42

    $1 exacta box of 8 horses = 8 * (8-1) = 56 combinations * $1 = $56


    Below follow the calculated costs of $1 trifecta boxes:

    $1 trifecta box of 3 horses = 6 possible combinations = $6.

    $1 trifecta box of 4 horses = 24 possible combinations = $24.

    $1 trifecta box of 5 horses = 60 possible combinations = $60.

    $1 trifecta box of 6 horses = 120 possible combinations = $120.

    $1 trifecta box of 7 horses = 210 possible combinations = $210.

    $1 trifecta box of 8 horses = 336 possible combinations = $336.

    $1 trifecta box of 9 horses = 504 possible combinations = $504.

    $1 trifecta box of 10 horses = 720 possible combinations = $720.


    Trifecta Wheel Betting Using One Horse as a Key

    Below follows the cost of wheeling one horse in one position with ALL remaining horses in the other two positions, based on field size:

    4 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (3 * 2) * $1 = $6 (6 possible combinations.)

    5 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (4 * 3) * $1 = $12 (12 possible combinations.)

    6 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (5 * 4) * $1 = $20 (20 possible combinations.)

    7 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (6 * 5) * $1 = $30 (30 possible combinations.)

    8 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (7 * 6) * $1 = $42 (42 possible combinations.)

    9 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (8 * 7) * $1 = $56 (56 possible combinations.)

    10 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (9 * 8) * $1 = $72 (72 possible combinations.)

    11 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (10 * 9) * $1 = $90 (90 possible combinations.)

    12 horse field $1 trifecta wheel = (11 * 10) * $1 = $110 (110 possible combinations.)

  5. #35
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    I'm big on Mubtaahij and Danzig Moon in my exactas, and I put a small across-the-board bet on both of them as well. There's a ton of early speed in this race, and I'm hoping that leads to my clunkers coming up late.

  6. #36
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    I'm big on Mubtaahij and Danzig Moon in my exactas, and I put a small across-the-board bet on both of them as well. There's a ton of early speed in this race, and I'm hoping that leads to my clunkers coming up late.

  7. #37
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    I am going with an ex box: Dortmund and Danzig Moon

  8. #38
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    1st American Pharoah
    2nd Dortmund
    3rd El Cabier (long shot but I trust Calvin Borel)

  9. #39
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    12 horse International Star scratched.

  10. #40
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    Quote Originally Posted by InItToWinIt View Post
    1st American Pharoah
    2nd Dortmund
    3rd El Cabier (long shot but I trust Calvin Borel)
    Scratched yesterday.

  11. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim Schue View Post
    Scratched yesterday.
    Great. Then I REALLY need American Pharaoh and Dortmund to win so I cover the loss I'm now going to take on El Cabier.

  12. #42
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    So we went to Turfway for a little bit yesterday to get our Oaks and Derby plays in.

    One of my exactas is a 4-horse box 6-12-18-20. With the 12 scratching out, that means the 12 play gets switched to a different horse. From the way I understand it, they switch it to the favorite, but since I have Pharoah as part of it, does that mean it will switch the 12 to the second favorite (Dortmund)?

  13. #43

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    Quote Originally Posted by InItToWinIt View Post
    Great. Then I REALLY need American Pharaoh and Dortmund to win so I cover the loss I'm now going to take on El Cabier.
    You don't lose money on a horse that was scratched. You get your money refunded.

  14. #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by frankdracman23 View Post
    You don't lose money on a horse that was scratched. You get your money refunded.
    You are right, UNLESS you bet it in Vegas on in a Futures Pool.

  15. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mustang View Post
    You are right, UNLESS you bet it in Vegas on in a Futures Pool.
    Like you did? lol

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