Hurricane Nate

  1. #1
    woodsrider's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 04
    Posts
    19,033

    Hurricane Nate

    @nWo , what's the skinny on Nate? We are heading out to Gulf Shores, AL Friday morning. The last I saw the track had Nate hitting the Gulf Coast late morning on Saturday.
    Advertisement

  2. #2
    swamprat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 01
    Location
    Uniendo Los Toros
    Posts
    27,773

    I don't have nWo's resources, but this is what the National Hurricane Center posted at 5PM.

    Name:  nate.jpg
Views: 191
Size:  156.8 KB

  3. #3
    GrantNKY's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 14
    Location
    You got BBQ back there and didn't invite me? HURT. MY. FEELINGS!
    Posts
    6,226

    Obviously there are more important things to consider. But Miami/ FSU has already been cancelled once due to Irma. It will be very difficult to reschedule again. Both schools happened to have bye weeks this week.

  4. #4
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Sorry for such a late response I just got home after working 15 1/2 hours today.

    Tropical Depression16 is forecast to become Tropical Storm Nate likely later tonight. It also looks like Nate will move out over the Gulf of Mexico and strengthen into a hurricane before it makes landfall this weekend possibly some time on Sunday. It is too early to tell the exact track but those from Louisianna to Florida should keep an eye on this system. I will post an update in the morning.

  5. #5
    woodsrider's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 04
    Posts
    19,033

    Thanks guys. Not looking good for the start of our vacation.

  6. #6
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Quote Originally Posted by woodsrider View Post
    Thanks guys. Not looking good for the start of our vacation.
    My son and his family are in Florida now but plan to leave on Friday.

  7. #7
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Tropical Depression 16 is forecasted to become a tropical storm, Nate, later today.At 200 AM EDT, the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 83.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph, and this motion is expected to continue this morning. A north-northwestward motion at a faster forward speed is forecast to begin later today and continue through late Friday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression should move across northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras later today and then over the northwestern Caribbean Sea Thursday night and Friday. The center is expected to approach the coast of the Yucatan peninsula late Friday.Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts.The depression is forecast to strengthen to a tropical storm before it moves inland over northeastern Nicaragua. Additional strengthening is likely over the northwestern Caribbean Sea Thursday night and Friday.

    I will update again later today.

    Name:  085915_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
Views: 160
Size:  100.3 KB

    Name:  054304_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png
Views: 159
Size:  136.7 KB

  8. #8
    swamprat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 01
    Location
    Uniendo Los Toros
    Posts
    27,773

    It's TS Nate, now. A tropical disturbance between Florida and Cuba looks to be pushing the forecasts west. I hope NOLA is ready this time.

  9. #9
    StrongSide's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 15
    Location
    Birds Nest
    Posts
    1,194

    It just keeps coming... I don't remember a hurricane season like these.

  10. #10
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Looks like Nate is taking a more westerly track and at the moment looks like will make landfall in Louisianna.


    Nate is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days with a significant increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Nate should move across eastern Honduras this evening and over the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight and Friday. The center is then expected to move near or over the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent islands late Friday or Friday night, and move into the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is likely once the center moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight and Friday, and Nate could be near hurricane strength as the center approaches the Yucatan Peninsula.



    Name:  205145_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png
Views: 112
Size:  137.7 KB

    Name:  nam.gif
Views: 116
Size:  452.6 KB

    Rainfall totals through Monday.

    Name:  90.jpg
Views: 115
Size:  419.1 KB

  11. #11
    swamprat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 01
    Location
    Uniendo Los Toros
    Posts
    27,773

    Quote Originally Posted by StrongSide View Post
    It just keeps coming... I don't remember a hurricane season like these.
    2005 had 28 named storms, including 4 category 5 hurricanes. The last hurricane was Epsilon on November 29 and the last tropical storm was Zeta, which formed on December 29.

    For comparisons sake, Hurricane Stan began on October 1st that year. Tropical Storm Tammy formed on October 5.

  12. #12
    TAC's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 09
    Location
    It's not where I live, It's what I live for
    Posts
    14,401

    Quote Originally Posted by swamprat View Post
    It's TS Nate, now. A tropical disturbance between Florida and Cuba looks to be pushing the forecasts west. I hope NOLA is ready this time.
    They are already calling for evacuations. Letís see of they heed the warnings this time.

  13. #13
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    t 100 AM CDT, the center of Hurricane Nate was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 86.5 West. Nate is moving towards the north-northwest near 22 mph, and this general fast motion is expected to continue through late Saturday. A turn towards the north is forecast Saturday night, followed by a turn toward north-northeast on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Nate will move across the Gulf of Mexico overnight and on Saturday and will make landfall along the central U.S. Gulf coast Saturday evening or Saturday night.Reports from Air Force aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph with higher gusts.Additional strengthening is expected through Saturday up until the time Nate makes landfall along the northern Gulf coast.

    Name:  032801_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
Views: 64
Size:  100.3 KB

    Name:  032801_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png
Views: 61
Size:  144.6 KB

  14. #14
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Estimated rainfall totals from Nate and possible thunderstorms on Saturday according to the NAM. These totals are through Monday morning.

    Name:  90.jpg
Views: 64
Size:  479.6 KB

  15. #15
    nWo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 01
    Location
    Richmond,KY
    Posts
    39,245

    Just received this graphic from NOAA WRN.

    Overall, we expect 1 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts possible in southern and central Kentucky. Despite the heavy rainfall, we don't expect too much in the way of flooding concerns due to the recent prolonged dry stretch.

    Name:  Expected Rainfall.png
Views: 60
Size:  168.9 KB

Top